France vs. Türkiye - Exact Score
PM $51.9K
1
37
PM $51.9K
1
37
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 15, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is France 5 - 3 Türkiye at 17.7%.
Polymarket
- France 5 - 3 Türkiye17.7%
- France 3 - 5 Türkiye15%
- France 5 - 5 Türkiye14.4%
- France 5 - 4 Türkiye13.1%
- France 4 - 5 Türkiye12%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $51.9K
Reported volume · provider units
37
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 15, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Snapshot observed Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is an exact score market for the France vs. Türkiye match in the UEFA Nations League [1]. Each contract asks whether a specific final score will occur. The rules state that the market resolves on the score at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, and that extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1]. If the final score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score" [1]. The rules also include no-result provisions. For example, the market resolves to "0-0" if the match is canceled or does not start by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET [1]. That date is a rule deadline, not an announced kickoff time.
Reading the snapshot
The provider data was observed at 12:00 UTC on November 14, 2026, and the source was retrieved at 13:38 UTC the same day [1]. These figures are snapshots from that observation, not live quotes. The listed end time is 19:45 UTC on November 15, 2026 [1].
The prices shown are Yes prices. The highest included price is 0.245 for France 5-3 Türkiye. France 2-1 Türkiye and France 2-0 Türkiye are each listed at 0.095 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not verified probabilities or executable quotes.
Only 12 of 37 markets from this Polymarket event are included, so this is a partial sample [1]. The rows shown do not represent every possible score, and they should not be read as the complete field. The reported event volume is $50,876 in US dollars [1]. That figure is total reported trading for this event. It is not a measure of liquidity or the number of traders.
What remains uncertain
The snapshot cannot show what has happened since it was observed. It also does not explain why prices are at their current levels. The source describes the match as originally scheduled for November 15, 2026, at 2:45 PM ET as of market creation [1]. That wording does not confirm the current schedule, so the status should be checked against the official sources named in the rules. The evidence includes only one provider, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. Whether any listed score occurs depends on the final result under the rules described above.
References
- Polymarket: France vs. Türkiye - Exact Score. Provider data observed Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC.
Snapshot observed Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Polymarket event covers the exact score of the UEFA Nations League match between France and Türkiye [1]. Each market asks whether one listed score will occur. The rules say the market resolves on the score "at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time," and that "extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded" [1]. If the actual score is not one of the listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score" [1]. The rules also include no-result provisions: if the match is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned without an official result by then, the market resolves to "0-0" [1]. The listed end time is Nov 15, 2026, 7:45 PM UTC [1]. The excerpt describes the original kickoff as "Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event)" [1]. That wording describes the schedule at market creation and should not be read as a confirmed current kickoff.
Reading the snapshot
The market prices were observed at Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC and retrieved at Nov 14, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC [1]. These are past snapshot times, not live quotes. The sample includes 12 of 37 Polymarket markets for this event, ordered by Yes price, so the omitted scores cannot be assumed to have lower prices [1]. Among the included markets, the highest Yes price is 0.245 for "Exact Score: France 5 - 3 Türkiye?", and the lowest are 0.095 for "France 2 - 0 Türkiye" and "France 2 - 1 Türkiye" [1]. These figures describe only this saved snapshot. The reported volume of $50,876 is Polymarket's own total in US dollars [1]. It does not measure liquidity or the number of traders.
Each score is a separate contract, so these prices should not be summed, averaged, or read as a full probability distribution. The sample covers only one platform, so no cross-platform comparison applies.
What remains uncertain
The sample does not include every listed score, the "Any Other Score" outcome, or any later prices. The evidence does not explain why prices are where they are. Prices here are not executable quotes, and a price difference between contracts does not by itself indicate an arbitrage opportunity. The final resolution will depend on the full rules, including the abandonment and data-source provisions [1].
References
- Polymarket: France vs. Türkiye - Exact Score. Provider data observed Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 14, 2026 UTCOverview
This is an exact score contract on Polymarket for a UEFA Nations League match between France and Türkiye, listed under the event title France vs. Türkiye - Exact Score [1]. The contract rules describe the match as originally scheduled for Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, and the listed end time for the market is 19:45 UTC on that date [1]. Each exact score contract is a separate yes or no question about whether the match ends with one specific score, such as France 2 - 1 Türkiye [1]. The rules define the result narrowly. The market resolves on the score at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, so extra time and penalty shoot-outs do not count [1]. If the final score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score" [1]. Because each contract only covers one score, a score that is not listed in a given sample does not carry its own separate result in that sample. The rules also set out what happens if the match does not finish normally. If the match is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned without an official result by then, the market resolves to 0-0 [1]. If the match is abandoned, the outcome follows the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers, subject to deadlines in the rules [1]. Where a result is awarded by the deadline, the awarded result governs even if the score as played was different [1]. Minor spelling differences, abbreviations, sponsor names and formatting variations in team names do not affect resolution, as long as the intended team can be clearly identified in the fixture [1]. For data, the primary resolution source is official match information from UEFA Nations League [1]. If official final statistics are not published within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, the rules allow Flashscore data, then Sofascore data, and then a consensus of credible reporting if the earlier sources are unavailable [1]. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves to 0-0 [1]. Revisions to final scores made after resolution are not taken into account [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the match ends with one specific scoreline under the market's 90-minute rule, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs [1]. It is therefore narrower than a simple match result contract, because the exact score has to be correct and the rules send every unlisted score to Any Other Score [1]. The price shown for each contract is a snapshot from the saved provider data, observed at 12:00 UTC on November 14, 2026 [1]. In that snapshot, the Yes price for France 2 - 1 Türkiye was 0.095, meaning the contract was priced at 9.5 cents on a dollar at that moment [1]. Such a price is not an executable quote, and it should not be read as a verified probability of that score. Polymarket reports a total volume of $50,876 for its event, but that figure is a total in US dollars for the event and does not describe liquidity or the number of traders [1]. The saved sample includes 12 of the 37 Polymarket markets for this event, selected by highest Yes price and then volume [1]. A score that is not among the 12 included contracts is not implied to have a lower price, and prices in this sample should not be compared with contracts from other events.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-14 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Does extra time count for this market?
No. The market resolves on the score at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, and extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1].
What happens if the score is not one of the listed outcomes?
If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score" [1].
What happens if the match is canceled or postponed past the deadline?
If the match is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by then, the market resolves to 0-0 [1]. The rules also describe awarded results and replays that can change the outcome before that deadline [1].
Which sources decide the final score?
The primary source is official match information from UEFA Nations League. If official final statistics are not published within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore may be used, then Sofascore, and then a consensus of credible reporting if neither is available [1].
Are the prices shown probabilities?
No. The prices are snapshots from the saved provider data observed at 12:00 UTC on November 14, 2026, and they are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
