Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
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Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T12:00:06.236Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on whether Dogecoin goes up or down over a five-minute window, titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET" [1]. According to the contract rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1].
The rules name a specific resolution source: "the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream" from Chainlink, and state that the market is "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a Dogecoin price on another exchange or data feed should expect different reference prices. The listed end time is 2026-10-29T00:50:00.000Z, which is the close of the window [1]. The provider status is "active" [1].
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-28T12:00:06.236Z and retrieved at 2026-10-28T13:05:34.592Z [1]. Those are different moments: the observation is the provider data time, and the retrieval is when this record was pulled. The prices below describe the market at observation time only.
- Up: 0.5
- Down: 0.5 [1]
These prices are equal in the snapshot. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of an outcome. The record does not show trade size, depth, or how many participants took either side, so volume and liquidity cannot be read from it.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record reports 1 total market, 1 included, and no partial sample [1]. This means the saved event is complete as recorded, but the record also states that it "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Since this is a binary Up or Down contract, there is no omitted outcome to compare.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show any trades, price movement, or outcome after the observation time, so this snapshot cannot tell a reader where the market stands today. The window closes at the listed end time, and the evidence contains no resolution result. The snapshot also does not explain why the two prices are equal.
Because the contract references a Chainlink TWAP stream, a comparison with other Dogecoin prices or with a different contract's wording would not be like-for-like. Different close times or reference sources are not an arbitrage opportunity by themselves.
References
- Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-28T12:00:06.236Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 28, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia contract is a short-window price question about Dogecoin. Its title, "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET", names a five-minute range, and the contract asks whether the price during that range finishes above or at its starting level. The listed contract is hosted on Polymarket, and its rules state that the market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is "greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range". Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The measurement source is specific. The rules name Chainlink's DOGE/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source [1]. The rules also say the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream for the DOGE/USD pair, and not according to any other sources or spot markets [1]. A reader should therefore treat the contract as a question about that specific feed rather than a general question about where Dogecoin trades. The event is listed as active by the provider, with a listed end time of 2026-10-29T00:50:00.000Z [1]. That timestamp is the contract's closing time as listed in the rules. It is not evidence of when the market was actually resolved, and the supplied material does not show a resolution outcome. The only market saved for this event is the Up or Down binary contract, with one included market and no partial sample [1]. The saved snapshot shows "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 at the provider observation time of 2026-10-28T12:00:06.236Z [1]. Those figures describe that earlier snapshot only. They are not executable quotes, and they are not a verified probability of an upward move.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow, rule-defined question: whether the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP over the stated five-minute window ends at or above the value at the start of that window [1]. Because it uses a time-weighted average rather than a single trade price, the result depends on the averaging method of that data stream and not only on the last trade seen in a given venue [1]. The rules also exclude other sources and spot markets, so a reader comparing this contract with exchange prices would be looking at a different measurement [1]. The contract's usefulness as an information signal depends on understanding these rules. A price in the snapshot reflects only the market's trading at the observation time and is not a forecast verified by any source [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-28 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does this contract resolve to "Up" and "Down"?
According to the rules, it resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1].
Which price source determines the outcome?
The stated resolution source is the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules say the market is not based on any other sources or spot markets [1].
Does the listed end time show when the market resolved?
No. The listed end time of 2026-10-29T00:50:00.000Z is the closing time shown in the provider's event information [1]. It does not establish the resolution outcome or when resolution occurred.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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