Guangxi Hengchen FC vs Wuxi Wugou
K 7.38 contracts
1
3
Guangxi Hengchen FC vs Wuxi Wugou
K 7.38 contracts
1
3
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Guangxi Hengchen FC at 61.5%.
Kalshi
- Guangxi Hengchen FC61.5%
- Tie23%
- Wuxi Wugou16%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 7.38 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
GUA vs WUX (Oct 31) If X wins the Guangxi Hengchen FC vs Wuxi Wugou professional China League 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Guangxi Hengchen FC vs Wuxi Wugou professional China League 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T06:00:05.981Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied evidence covers one provider event, a Kalshi listing for the Guangxi Hengchen FC vs Wuxi Wugou China League 1 match, described as "originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026" [1]. The rules state that the result is judged "after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties" [1]. The "wins" contracts resolve on a team winning under that definition, while the "Tie" contract "resolves to Yes" if "the game ends in a tie" [1]. The rules also say that if the game "is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules" [1]. Each contract's wording therefore matters: a result after extra time or a penalty shootout would not count under these terms.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-27T06:00:05.981Z and retrieved at 2026-10-27T06:08:31.507Z [1]. These are past records, not live quotes. The three listed Yes prices were 0.5 for Wuxi Wugou wins, 0.5 for Guangxi Hengchen FC wins, and 0.49 for the tie [1]. The No prices were 0.5, 0.5, and 0.51 respectively. Because these are snapshot prices, they are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The Yes prices across the three contracts sum to 1.49 in this snapshot, which the reader should note without treating it as an arbitrage signal, since the saved data does not explain the gap.
The listed endDate for all three markets is 2026-11-02T06:30:00.000Z [1]. This is a listed close time from the provider data. It is not the resolution date, and the rules say the market "will close and expire after a winner is declared" [1]. The source excerpt also states that the listed end time is "not supplied," so the reader should not treat the endDate as a confirmed match date.
The sample includes all three saved markets for this event, with no partial sample flag [1]. The sampleWarning, however, says this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. No other provider events were supplied, so no cross-platform comparison is possible.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices are where they are, how many traders hold each position, or whether the match is still scheduled as originally planned. Volume and liquidity are not provided in a way that supports conclusions here. The sources do not report recent team news or any update after the saved snapshot time.
References
- Kalshi: Guangxi Hengchen FC vs Wuxi Wugou. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T06:00:05.981Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This contract concerns a China League 1 association football match between Guangxi Hengchen FC and Wuxi Wugou, which the provider lists as originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 [1]. The provider's rules describe three related markets: one for a Wuxi Wugou win, one for a Guangxi Hengchen FC win, and one for a tie. Each market is framed around the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, so extra time and penalties are not part of the outcome [1]. The rules state that the market resolves to Yes if the named team wins under that definition, and that a tie resolves the separate tie market to Yes [1]. The provider also says the market will close and expire after a winner is declared [1]. The saved market data lists an end date of November 2, 2026, but that field is a provider timestamp and should not be read as the match date, which the rules describe as October 31, 2026 [1]. The saved price snapshot for these markets was observed at 2026-10-27T06:00:05.981Z, and the source record was retrieved at 2026-10-27T06:08:31.513Z [1]. At that observation time, the Wuxi Wugou win and Guangxi Hengchen FC win contracts were each priced at 0.5 for Yes and 0.5 for No, while the tie contract was priced at 0.49 for Yes and 0.51 for No. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of any result. The three markets shown are all of the saved markets for this event, and the provider's sample notes do not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the official result of one scheduled football match under a narrow definition. Because the rules count only the result after regulation time, a match that goes to extra time or a penalty shootout is still treated as a tie for the tie contract [1]. Traders following this event therefore need to read the 90 minute definition closely, since it determines how each contract resolves [1]. The rules also address disruption. If the game is cancelled, or rescheduled to a time more than 48 hours away, the provider says the market will resolve to a fair price under its rules [1]. That makes the rescheduling rule a material part of how the contract would settle.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Wuxi Wugou wins contract pay out on?
The contract resolves to Yes if Wuxi Wugou wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and extra time and penalties are not included [1].
What happens if the match ends in a tie?
If the game ends in a tie, the separate market called Tie resolves to Yes [1]. The provider's rules describe the tie as a result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, so a match decided later in extra time or on penalties is not counted as a win for either team under this definition [1].
What happens if the game is cancelled or moved?
The provider states that if the game is cancelled, or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules [1]. The rules excerpt does not supply the detailed method for calculating that fair price.
When does the market close?
The provider says the market will close and expire after a winner is declared [1]. The saved end date is a provider timestamp of November 2, 2026, and the rules do not describe it as the match date [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Guangxi Hengchen FC vs. Wuxi Wugou - More Markets
PM $79.04Guangxi Hengchen FC vs. Wuxi Wugou - Exact Score
PM $0Guangxi Hengchen FC vs. Wuxi Wugou
PM $41.34
Guangxi Hengchen FC vs Wuxi Wugou: Spread
K 2 contractsGuangxi Hengchen FC vs. Wuxi Wugou - Halftime Result
PM $0China League One: Team promoted to Chinese Super League (2026)
PM $128.39Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
