Market snapshot: Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Maxwell Exsted

Reported volume

PM $6.3K

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Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Maxwell Exsted

Vol

PM $6.3K

Events

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12 markets tracked

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Set 1 Winner: Karl Poling vs Maxwell Exsted

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Set 1 Winner: Karl Poling vs Maxwell Exsted	Kalshi	Unavailable
Set 2 Winner: Karl Poling vs Maxwell Exsted	Kalshi	Unavailable
Karl Poling vs. Maxwell Exsted: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Kalshi	Unavailable
Poling vs. Exsted: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Kalshi	Unavailable
Poling vs. Exsted: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Kalshi	Unavailable
Poling vs. Exsted: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Kalshi	Unavailable
Poling vs. Exsted: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Kalshi	Unavailable
Poling vs. Exsted: Match Over/Under 21.5	Kalshi	Unavailable
Poling vs. Exsted: Match Over/Under 22.5	Kalshi	Unavailable
Poling vs. Exsted: Match Over/Under 23.5	Kalshi	Unavailable
Set Handicap: Karl Poling (-1.5) vs Maxwell Exsted (+1.5)	Kalshi	Unavailable
Set Handicap: Maxwell Exsted (-1.5) vs Karl Poling (+1.5)	Kalshi	Unavailable

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $6.3K

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Karl Poling and Maxwell Exsted in the Sioux Falls, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karl Poling' if Karl Poling advances against Maxwell Exsted. This market will resolve to 'Maxwell Exsted' if Maxwell Exsted advances against Karl Poling. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Maxwell Exsted
Source snapshot: Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $6.3K
Coverage: 12 of 12 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Set 1 Winner: Karl Poling vs Maxwell Exsted
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6177251; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-poling-exsted-2026-10-25-first-set-winner-Poling-vs-Exsted
Observed: Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Karl Poling: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Maxwell Exsted: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market refers to the tennis match between Karl Poling and Maxwell Exsted in the Sioux Falls Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Karl Poling” if Karl Poling wins the first set. It will resolve to “Maxwell Exsted” if Maxwell Exsted wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP Tour match statistics.

This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Contract: Set 2 Winner: Karl Poling vs Maxwell Exsted
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6177257; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-poling-exsted-2026-10-25-set-2-winner-Poling-vs-Exsted
Observed: Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Karl Poling: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Maxwell Exsted: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market refers to the tennis match between Karl Poling and Maxwell Exsted in the Sioux Falls Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Karl Poling” if Karl Poling wins set 2. It will resolve to “Maxwell Exsted” if Maxwell Exsted wins set 2.
If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP Tour match statistics.

This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Contract: Karl Poling vs. Maxwell Exsted: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6177263; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-poling-exsted-2026-10-25-set-totals-2pt5
Observed: Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Over 2.5: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Under 2.5: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market refers to the tennis match between Karl Poling and Maxwell Exsted in the Sioux Falls Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Under" otherwise. A set counts as played once it has begun, even if it is not played to completion. A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If a player retires, withdraws, is defaulted, or is disqualified, or the match otherwise begins but is not completed, this market will resolve based on any outcome that was already unequivocally determined at the time play stopped. An outcome is considered unequivocally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, for a line of 2.5, if play stops with the players at one set each, completing the match would have required at least one

Contract: Poling vs. Exsted: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6177281; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-poling-exsted-2026-10-25-first-set-total-10pt5
Observed: Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $6
Outcome Over: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Under: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market refers to the tennis match between Karl Poling and Maxwell Exsted in the Sioux Falls Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 addi

Contract: Poling vs. Exsted: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6177287; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-poling-exsted-2026-10-25-set-2-total-8pt5
Observed: Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Over: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Under: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market refers to the tennis match between Karl Poling and Maxwell Exsted in the Sioux Falls Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak or played as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 2 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
If the match ends before set 2 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by Novem

Contract: Poling vs. Exsted: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6177293; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-poling-exsted-2026-10-25-set-2-total-9pt5
Observed: Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Over: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Under: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market refers to the tennis match between Karl Poling and Maxwell Exsted in the Sioux Falls Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak or played as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 2 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
If the match ends before set 2 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by Nove

Contract: Poling vs. Exsted: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6177298; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-poling-exsted-2026-10-25-set-2-total-10pt5
Observed: Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Over: 9.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Under: 90.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market refers to the tennis match between Karl Poling and Maxwell Exsted in the Sioux Falls Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak or played as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 2 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome.
If the match ends before set 2 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by Nove

Contract: Poling vs. Exsted: Match Over/Under 21.5
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6177304; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-poling-exsted-2026-10-25-match-total-21pt5
Observed: Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $126
Outcome Over: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Under: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market refers to the tennis match between Karl Poling and Maxwell Exsted in the Sioux Falls Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether a final set is played as a full set or as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least

Contract: Poling vs. Exsted: Match Over/Under 22.5
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6177310; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-poling-exsted-2026-10-25-match-total-22pt5
Observed: Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $13.14
Outcome Over: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Under: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market refers to the tennis match between Karl Poling and Maxwell Exsted in the Sioux Falls Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether a final set is played as a full set or as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least

Contract: Poling vs. Exsted: Match Over/Under 23.5
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6177316; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-poling-exsted-2026-10-25-match-total-23pt5
Observed: Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Over: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Under: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market refers to the tennis match between Karl Poling and Maxwell Exsted in the Sioux Falls Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether a final set is played as a full set or as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least

Contract: Set Handicap: Karl Poling (-1.5) vs Maxwell Exsted (+1.5)
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6177322; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-poling-exsted-2026-10-25-set-handicap-home-1pt5
Observed: Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Karl Poling: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Maxwell Exsted: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market refers to the tennis match between Karl Poling and Maxwell Exsted in the Sioux Falls Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Karl Poling" if Karl Poling wins by 2 or more sets than Maxwell Exsted, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Maxwell Exsted."
If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Karl Poling can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Maxwell Exsted."
If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP Tour results.

Contract: Set Handicap: Maxwell Exsted (-1.5) vs Karl Poling (+1.5)
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6177325; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-poling-exsted-2026-10-25-set-handicap-away-1pt5
Observed: Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Maxwell Exsted: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome Karl Poling: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market refers to the tennis match between Maxwell Exsted and Karl Poling in the Sioux Falls Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Maxwell Exsted" if Maxwell Exsted wins by 2 or more sets than Karl Poling, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Karl Poling."
If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Maxwell Exsted can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Karl Poling."
If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP Tour results.

Saved cross-platform review:
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