Market snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Miami vs Cincinnati: First Goalscorer

Reported volume

K 10.0K contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Miami vs Cincinnati: First Goalscorer

Vol

K 10.0K contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is No Goal at 49.5%.

Kalshi

No Goal49.5%
Lionel Messi33%
Luis Suarez15.5%
Kevin Denkey10%
German Berterame9.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

21 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

No Goal: First Goalscorer

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
No Goal: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	49.5%
Lionel Messi: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	33.0%
Luis Suarez: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	15.5%
Kevin Denkey: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	10.0%
German Berterame: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	9.5%
Evander: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	8.5%
Kenji Mboma Dem: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	6.0%
Rodrigo De Paul: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	4.0%
Matias Galarza: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	4.0%
Gerardo Valenzuela: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	4.0%
Casemiro: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	3.5%
Sergio Reguilon: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	2.5%
Micael: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	2.5%
David Ayala: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	2.5%
Teenage Hadebe: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	2.5%
David Doudera: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	2.5%
Bryan Ramirez: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	2.5%
Gonzalo Lujan: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	2.0%
Samuel Gidi: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	2.0%
Obinna Nwobodo: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	2.0%
Nick Hagglund: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	2.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 10.0K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

MIA vs CIN (Oct 28) If X records the first goal during the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to a player in the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Miami vs Cincinnati: First Goalscorer
Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 10.0K contracts
Coverage: 21 of 21 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: No Goal: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT28MIACIN-NOGOAL; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct28miacin
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If no player records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Sergio Reguilon: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT28MIACIN-MIASREGUI3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct28miacin
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Sergio Reguilon records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Rodrigo De Paul: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT28MIACIN-MIARDEPA7; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct28miacin
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 391.4 contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Rodrigo De Paul records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Micael: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT28MIACIN-MIAMICA13; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct28miacin
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Micael records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Matias Galarza: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT28MIACIN-MIAMGALAR88; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct28miacin
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Matias Galarza records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Luis Suarez: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT28MIACIN-MIALSUARE9; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct28miacin
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.2K contracts
Outcome Yes: 15.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 84.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Luis Suarez records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Lionel Messi: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT28MIACIN-MIALMESSI10; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct28miacin
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 6.6K contracts
Outcome Yes: 33.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 67.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Lionel Messi records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Gonzalo Lujan: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT28MIACIN-MIAGLUJAN2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct28miacin
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 23.42 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Gonzalo Lujan records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: German Berterame: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT28MIACIN-MIAGBERTE19; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct28miacin
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 94.18 contracts
Outcome Yes: 9.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If German Berterame records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: David Ayala: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT28MIACIN-MIADAYALA22; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct28miacin
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If David Ayala records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Casemiro: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT28MIACIN-MIACASE18; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct28miacin
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 938.85 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Casemiro records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Teenage Hadebe: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT28MIACIN-CINTHADEB15; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct28miacin
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Teenage Hadebe records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Samuel Gidi: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT28MIACIN-CINSGIDI11; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct28miacin
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 23.42 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Samuel Gidi records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Obinna Nwobodo: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT28MIACIN-CINONWOBO5; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct28miacin
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 23.42 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Obinna Nwobodo records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Nick Hagglund: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT28MIACIN-CINNHAGGL4; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct28miacin
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 46.84 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Nick Hagglund records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Kenji Mboma Dem: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT28MIACIN-CINKMBOMA17; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct28miacin
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 6.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Kenji Mboma Dem records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Kevin Denkey: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT28MIACIN-CINKDENKE9; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct28miacin
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 204.08 contracts
Outcome Yes: 10.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Kevin Denkey records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Gerardo Valenzuela: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT28MIACIN-CINGVALEN22; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct28miacin
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Gerardo Valenzuela records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Evander: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT28MIACIN-CINEVAN10; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct28miacin
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 470.36 contracts
Outcome Yes: 8.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 91.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Evander records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: David Doudera: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT28MIACIN-CINDDOUDE23; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct28miacin
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If David Doudera records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Bryan Ramirez: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT28MIACIN-CINBRAMIR29; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct28miacin
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Bryan Ramirez records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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