Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs?

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Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs?

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Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Ashok Varadhan)

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Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Ashok Varadhan)	Kalshi	11%
Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Marc Nachmann)	Kalshi	10%
Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Matt McClure)	Kalshi	10%
Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Dan Dees)	Kalshi	10%
Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Kim Posnett)	Kalshi	7%

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About This Event

In 2030 If X is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as COO for Goldman Sachs before Dec 31, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs?
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2030

If X is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as COO for Goldman Sachs before Dec 31, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Marc Nachmann is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as COO for Goldman Sachs before Dec 31, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market. Early close condition: This market will close and expire "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Marc Nachmann)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Matt McClure)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Kim Posnett)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Dan Dees)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Ashok Varadhan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs?

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KALSHI

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Ashok Varadhan)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.0¢No 89.0¢

KALSHIOther

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Ashok Varadhan)

If Ashok Varadhan is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as COO for Goldman Sachs before Dec 31, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market. Early close condition: This market will close and expire

KALSHI

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Marc Nachmann)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢

KALSHIOther

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Marc Nachmann)

If Marc Nachmann is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as COO for Goldman Sachs before Dec 31, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market. Early close condition: This market will close and expire

KALSHI

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Matt McClure)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢

KALSHIOther

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Matt McClure)

If Matt McClure is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as COO for Goldman Sachs before Dec 31, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market. Early close condition: This market will close and expire e

KALSHI

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Dan Dees)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢

KALSHIOther

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Dan Dees)

If Dan Dees is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as COO for Goldman Sachs before Dec 31, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early

KALSHI

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Kim Posnett)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢

KALSHIOther

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Kim Posnett)

If Kim Posnett is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as COO for Goldman Sachs before Dec 31, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market. Early close condition: This market will close and expire ea

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Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Ashok Varadhan)

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs?

Markets (5)

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Ashok Varadhan)

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Ashok Varadhan)

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Marc Nachmann)

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Marc Nachmann)

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Matt McClure)

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Matt McClure)

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Dan Dees)

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Dan Dees)

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Kim Posnett)

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Kim Posnett)

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Ashok Varadhan)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs?

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Ashok Varadhan)

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Ashok Varadhan)

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Marc Nachmann)

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Marc Nachmann)

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Matt McClure)

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Matt McClure)

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Dan Dees)

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Dan Dees)

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Kim Posnett)

Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs? (Kim Posnett)

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