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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B

Name: Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B
End: 2026-05-03T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$676.18

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B

Vol

$676.18

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $676.18

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $676.18

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

32 markets tracked

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B

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Single-Platform Markets(32)

Market	Platform	Price
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	Poly	78%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner	Poly	71%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner	Poly	71%
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	53%
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	53%
Game 1: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	51%
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	51%
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	51%
Game 3: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
First Blood in Game 2?	Poly	50%
First Blood in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	50%
Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	22%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	22%
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	18%
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	18%
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	18%
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	18%
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	9%
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	9%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

78%

Top Probability

$676.18

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nigma Galaxy and REKONIX in the 1win Essence Group B, initially scheduled for May 2 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against REKONIX. This market will resolve to "REKONIX" if REKONIX win the match against Nigma Galaxy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 3, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nigma Galaxy and REKONIX in the 1win Essence Group B, initially scheduled for May 2 at 2:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against REKONIX.

This market will resolve to "REKONIX" if REKONIX win the match against Nigma Galaxy.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming match between Nigma Galaxy and REKONIX in the 1win Essence Group B, initially scheduled for May 2 at 2:00PM ET:

This market is about the total kills in Game 2.

This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 2 is 48 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under".

If "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $676
* **Total Liquidity:** $13.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.05)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. First Blood in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Nigma Galaxy: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [REKONIX: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. First Blood in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Nigma Galaxy: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [REKONIX: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $666
  DATA: [Nigma Galaxy: 77.5% (0.0%)] | [REKONIX: 22.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Nigma Galaxy: 71.0% (0.0%)] | [REKONIX: 29.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Nigma Galaxy: 71.0% (0.0%)] | [REKONIX: 29.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Nigma Galaxy: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [REKONIX: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Game 1: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Game 3: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Game 3: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B

Volume$676.18

Markets32

32 of 32

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POLYMARKET

Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 3. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items. This market will resolve to "Yes

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 3. In Dota 2, an Ultra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 3. This market

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

This market is about whether Game 1 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on). T

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

This market is about whether Game 2 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on). T

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

This market is about whether Game 3 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on). T

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44¢

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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B

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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B

Markets (32)

Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B

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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B

Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

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