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Events
GroupKALSHI

Minnesota vs Houston: 2nd Quarter Winner

Minnesota vs Houston: 2nd Quarter Winner
Vol

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Events

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Markets

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Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 4, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Houston at 54%.

Kalshi

  1. Houston54%
  2. Minnesota30.5%
  3. Tie5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

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Reported volume ยท provider units

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Saved contracts

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 4, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

MIN vs HOU (Nov 4) If X wins the 2nd quarter of the Minnesota vs Houston Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: Only points scored during the 2nd quarter of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Snapshot observed 2026-11-03T21:00:06.031Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The Kalshi event asks about the second quarter only. Its rules state: "If X wins the 2nd quarter of the Minnesota vs Houston Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: Only points scored during the 2nd quarter of play count towards this market." [1] The wording matters: a team winning the full game does not settle these contracts. The rules also say the market "will close and expire after a winner is declared" [1], so the listed end date is not the same as the moment the outcome is determined.

The event has three separate contracts: Houston wins the 2nd quarter, Minnesota wins the 2nd quarter, and 2nd quarter tie [1]. Each is a Yes or No contract with its own price.

Reading the snapshot

The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-11-03T21:00:06 UTC and retrieved at 2026-11-04T06:09:04 UTC [1]. It records these prices for the Yes outcome: Houston 0.60, Minnesota 0.325, and tie 0.075 [1]. These are snapshot prices from that observation time, not current quotes, and they are not executable prices or verified probabilities.

The three Yes prices sum to 1.00 in this snapshot, so the set covers the outcomes the provider listed. The sample includes all three saved markets for this event, and the record marks it as not a partial sample [1]. The provider's warning still applies: the saved markets do not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed [1].

The contract end time in the market data is 2026-11-07T01:30:00 UTC [1]. The source excerpt, however, says "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. This date appears in the contract data but is not an announced game time, and it should not be read as the expected tip-off or the date the quarter is decided.

Only one platform appears in this evidence, so no cross-platform comparison is possible here.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why prices sit where they do, and it does not show trading activity or how many participants hold each view. Nothing here establishes current prices, the game's actual status, or the eventual result. Readers should check the provider page directly for live terms and prices before relying on any figure.

References

  1. Kalshi: Minnesota vs Houston: 2nd Quarter Winner. Provider data observed 2026-11-03T21:00:06.031Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Overview

This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event titled "Minnesota vs Houston: 2nd Quarter Winner" in the Sports category [1]. The contract concerns a Minnesota versus Houston pro basketball game that the provider lists as originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 [1]. The contract is limited to one quarter. Under its rules, if team X wins the second quarter, the market resolves to Yes, and only points scored during the second quarter count toward the market [1]. The event carries three separate markets: Houston wins the 2nd quarter, Minnesota wins the 2nd quarter, and a 2nd quarter tie [1]. Each market has a Yes and a No outcome. In the saved snapshot, Houston's Yes outcome was priced at 0.6 and Minnesota's Yes at 0.325, with the tie at 0.075 [1]. These figures were observed at 2026-11-03T21:00:06Z, which is the provider observation time for the saved event [1]. They are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. The saved record also lists each market's end date as 2026-11-07T01:30:00Z [1]. That is a listed end date in the contract data, not an announced event date, and the provider's excerpt states that the market will close and expire after a winner is declared [1]. The provider notes that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or officially connected with the governing league [1]. The saved record does not show the game's result or whether the game has been played, so this entry does not report any outcome for the second quarter.

Why It Matters

The contract measures a narrow outcome: which team, if either, scores more points in the second quarter of one scheduled game [1]. Because only second-quarter points count, the result of the full game, the final score, and points from other quarters do not determine resolution [1]. The tie market covers the case where the second quarter ends level, and it is a separate contract from the two team-win markets [1]. Readers should keep the observation time, the listed end date, and the game's scheduled date distinct, since each refers to a different point in the contract's life [1].

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-03 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What points count toward the Minnesota vs Houston second quarter market?

Only points scored during the 2nd quarter of play count toward this market [1].

What happens if the second quarter ends tied?

The event includes a separate "2nd quarter tie" market, which is listed with its own Yes and No outcomes [1]. The rules excerpt supplied does not describe further tie settlement mechanics beyond the market's title and outcomes [1].

When does the market close?

The provider's rules state that the market will close and expire after a winner is declared [1]. The saved record lists an end date of 2026-11-07T01:30:00.000Z, which is a listed date in the contract data and not an announced event date [1].

Are the listed prices probabilities?

The saved prices are snapshots observed at 2026-11-03T21:00:06Z and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].

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Saved Nov 4, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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