Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

How many DSA members will there be at the end of 2026?

Total Volume

$12.80K

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Markets

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How many DSA members will there be at the end of 2026?

Vol

$12.80K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $12.80K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $12.80K

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 110000 as reported for December 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 110000 as reported for December 2026?	Kalshi	90%
Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 120000 as reported for December 2026?	Kalshi	79%
Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 130000 as reported for December 2026?	Kalshi	72%
Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 140000 as reported for December 2026?	Kalshi	67%
Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 150000 as reported for December 2026?	Kalshi	59%
Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 160000 as reported for December 2026?	Kalshi	50%
Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 170000 as reported for December 2026?	Kalshi	37%
Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 180000 as reported for December 2026?	Kalshi	33%
Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 190000 as reported for December 2026?	Kalshi	28%
Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 200000 as reported for December 2026?	Kalshi	19%
Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 210000 as reported for December 2026?	Kalshi	13%
Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 220000 as reported for December 2026?	Kalshi	9%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

90%

Top Probability

$12.80K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

as reported for December 2026 If the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing is above X as reported for December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many DSA members will there be at the end of 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** as reported for December 2026

If the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing is above X as reported for December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing is above 120,000 as reported for December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $12.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 120000 as reported for December 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 79.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 110000 as reported for December 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 220000 as reported for December 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 210000 as reported for December 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 200000 as reported for December 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 8, 2027): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 190000 as reported for December 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 8, 2027): Vol $609
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 180000 as reported for December 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 8, 2027): Vol $27
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 170000 as reported for December 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 8, 2027): Vol $354
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 160000 as reported for December 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 8, 2027): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 150000 as reported for December 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 8, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 140000 as reported for December 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 8, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 130000 as reported for December 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 8, 2027): Vol $5.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 72.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

How many DSA members will there be at the end of 2026?

as reported for December 2026 If the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing is above X as reported for December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume$12.80K

Markets12

12 of 12

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KALSHI

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 110000 as reported for December 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.0¢No 10.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 110000 as reported for December 2026?

If the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing is above 110,000 as reported for December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 120000 as reported for December 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 79.0¢No 21.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 120000 as reported for December 2026?

If the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing is above 120,000 as reported for December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 130000 as reported for December 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 72.0¢No 28.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 130000 as reported for December 2026?

If the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing is above 130,000 as reported for December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 140000 as reported for December 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 66.5¢No 33.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 140000 as reported for December 2026?

If the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing is above 140,000 as reported for December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 150000 as reported for December 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 58.5¢No 41.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 150000 as reported for December 2026?

If the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing is above 150,000 as reported for December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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46¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/cRho4V" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="How many DSA members will there be at the end of 2026?"></iframe>

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How many DSA members will there be at the end of 2026?

How many DSA members will there be at the end of 2026?

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Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 110000 as reported for December 2026?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

How many DSA members will there be at the end of 2026?

Markets (12)

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 110000 as reported for December 2026?

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 110000 as reported for December 2026?

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 120000 as reported for December 2026?

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 120000 as reported for December 2026?

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 130000 as reported for December 2026?

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 130000 as reported for December 2026?

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 140000 as reported for December 2026?

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 140000 as reported for December 2026?

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 150000 as reported for December 2026?

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 150000 as reported for December 2026?

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Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 110000 as reported for December 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How many DSA members will there be at the end of 2026?

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 110000 as reported for December 2026?

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 110000 as reported for December 2026?

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 120000 as reported for December 2026?

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 120000 as reported for December 2026?

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 130000 as reported for December 2026?

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 130000 as reported for December 2026?

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 140000 as reported for December 2026?

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 140000 as reported for December 2026?

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 150000 as reported for December 2026?

Will the organization-wide number of Democratic Socialists of America members in good standing be above 150000 as reported for December 2026?

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