Pro Football: Josh Allen 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns
PM $7.8K
1
4
Pro Football: Josh Allen 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns
PM $7.8K
1
4
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 11.5+ rushing TDs at 87%.
Polymarket
- 11.5+ rushing TDs87%
- 9.5+ rushing TDs82%
- 13.5+ rushing TDs74.5%
- 15.5+ rushing TDs51%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $7.8K
Reported volume · provider units
4
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of rushing touchdowns Josh Allen records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Josh Allen does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many rushing touchdowns Josh Allen recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T09:00:05.996Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
Each market in this sample asks whether Josh Allen will record at least a stated number of rushing touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season [1]. The market resolves "Yes" if the count "equals or exceeds the listed number," and "No" otherwise [1]. If Allen does not play in the season for any reason, the market resolves "No" [1]. If the season is cancelled, or is postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if the count cannot be determined, the market resolves "50-50" [1]. The stated resolution source is official NFL information, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
Reading the snapshot
The prices come from a snapshot observed at 2026-10-17T09:00:05.996Z and retrieved at 2026-10-17T10:22:56.529Z [1]. They are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The sample includes all four saved Polymarket markets for this event, so it is complete for this event. It does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1].
Yes prices were 0.875 for 9.5 or more, 0.835 for 11.5 or more, 0.785 for 13.5 or more, and 0.24 for 15.5 or more [1]. In this snapshot, the Yes price falls as the threshold rises, with the 15.5 contract priced well below the others.
The listed close times differ. The 9.5 and 13.5 markets show an end date of 2027-01-12T23:59:00.000Z, while the 11.5 and 15.5 markets show 2027-01-27T04:59:00.000Z [1]. The supplied rules do not explain this difference, so readers should account for it when comparing contracts. The snapshot also does not report volume in a way that indicates liquidity or the number of traders.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show why prices sit at these levels or whether they have changed since the snapshot. It contains no current news, no information about Allen's past rushing totals, and no evidence about forecasting accuracy. Each threshold is a separate contract with its own wording and close time, so differences in price should not be read as an arbitrage opportunity. Before relying on these figures, check the listed end times and resolution rules at the source [1].
References
- Polymarket: Pro Football: Josh Allen 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T09:00:05.996Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a set of Polymarket contracts tied to the number of rushing touchdowns that Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season [1]. Each contract asks whether Allen's total will equal or exceed a listed threshold. The event's rules say a market resolves "Yes" if the count meets the number and "No" otherwise [1]. The rules also set out several special cases. If Allen does not play in the 2026-27 regular season for any reason, the market resolves "No" [1]. If the season is shortened, truncated, or ends early, the outcome is to be determined from available official data for completed games [1]. If the season is cancelled, is postponed after January 26, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many rushing touchdowns Allen recorded in that window, the market resolves "50-50" [1]. The stated resolution source is official information from the NFL, although the rules also allow a consensus of credible reporting to be used [1]. The saved event lists four thresholds: 9.5, 11.5, 13.5, and 15.5 or more rushing touchdowns [1]. The contracts carry two different listed end times, 2027-01-12 at 23:59 UTC and 2027-01-27 at 04:59 UTC [1]. These are contract closing times set in the market data, not announced dates for any football event. The source does not explain why the thresholds have different closing times. Prices in these contracts are snapshots of what the platform showed at the observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of Allen reaching a given total. Trading volume also does not measure liquidity or the number of participants.
Historical Context
Wikipedia reports that Allen was a lightly recruited high school prospect who began his college career with the Reedley Tigers before transferring to the Wyoming Cowboys [2]. It also reports that the Buffalo Bills selected him seventh overall in the 2018 NFL draft [2]. These are historical facts about his career path. They do not describe the 2026-27 season or any games played in it.
Why It Matters
The contracts measure one player's rushing touchdowns in a single future regular season, so they turn a specific football statistic into a yes or no question at several thresholds [1]. The rules show how the outcome depends on whether Allen plays, whether the season is completed, and whether official data can settle the count [1]. Readers should check the resolution language closely, because a "No" outcome can result from absence and a "50-50" outcome can result from cancellation or an unresolvable count [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if Josh Allen does not play in the 2026-27 regular season?
The market resolves "No" if Allen does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason [1].
What happens if the season is shortened or ends early?
The outcome is determined using available official data for completed games [1].
When does a market resolve 50-50?
A market resolves "50-50" if the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, is postponed after January 26, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many rushing touchdowns Allen recorded within that timeframe [1].
What source is used to resolve these markets?
The stated resolution source is official information from the NFL, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
