Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T21:00:06.847Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This snapshot covers one Kalshi market under the event "BNB 15 min · $754.93 target." The market's title is "BNB price up in next 15 mins?" The rules do not compare BNB with a $754.93 target. They compare two averages: the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSDRTI before 5:15 PM EDT on October 28, 2026, against the simple average of sixty seconds before 5:00 PM EDT on the same date. If the later average is at least the earlier one, the market resolves to Yes [1].

The rules also specify how the price is set. The source states: "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same." It adds that "the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)," and that "At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a BNB price shown on another site should check that the wording and the index match before treating the two as equivalent.

Reading the snapshot

The saved prices are Yes at 0.445 and No at 0.555. The provider observed them at 2026-10-28T21:00:06.847Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-28T22:15:48.790Z [1]. These are snapshots of quoted prices. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.

The sample covers one provider event with one market. The coverage record marks it as complete for that event (partialSample: false), and it lists no other markets for this event [1]. This does not show that Kalshi or any other provider lists every possible outcome for a real-world question. Because only a single market is saved, there is no comparison to make across contracts or platforms.

The listed close times also need care. The rules name a window ending at 5:15 PM EDT on October 28, 2026, which is 21:15 UTC [1]. The saved end date field, however, reads 2026-11-04T21:15:00.000Z. The source states "Listed end time: not supplied," so the evidence does not resolve this difference. The observed prices also predate the retrieval time, so they should not be read as the state of the market when this page was retrieved.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show the final outcome, the settlement value, or the current price. It does not explain why the quoted prices are where they are, and it does not report how many traders hold either side. Volume and liquidity are not included in the saved record, so no depth claim can be made. A reader should check the provider's current page and the rules before relying on any figure from this snapshot.

References

1. Kalshi: BNB 15 min · $754.93 target. Provider data observed 2026-10-28T21:00:06.847Z.