Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

NY-12 House election: Wilneida Negron vote percent

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$5.59K

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NY-12 House election: Wilneida Negron vote percent

Vol

$5.59K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $5.59K

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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Volume DistributionTotal: $5.59K

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7 markets tracked

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

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Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?	Kalshi	18%
Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?	Kalshi	9%
Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?	Kalshi	6%
Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?	Kalshi	4%
Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?	Kalshi	4%
Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

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18%

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$5.59K

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About This Event

Vote Percent - Wilneida Negron If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Wilneida Negron in the 2026 NY-12 House election is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by Wilneida Negron ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included i

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** NY-12 House election: Wilneida Negron vote percent
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Vote Percent - Wilneida Negron

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Wilneida Negron in the 2026 NY-12 House election is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by Wilneida Negron ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included i

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Wilneida Negron in the 2026 NY-12 House election is 7% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Wilneida Negron ÷ total valid votes cast"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $616
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

NY-12 House election: Wilneida Negron vote percent

Volume$5.59K

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KALSHI

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Wilneida Negron in the 2026 NY-12 House election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Wilneida Negron ÷ total valid votes cast

KALSHI

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.0¢No 91.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Wilneida Negron in the 2026 NY-12 House election is 2% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Wilneida Negron ÷ total valid votes cast

KALSHI

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Wilneida Negron in the 2026 NY-12 House election is 3% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Wilneida Negron ÷ total valid votes cast

KALSHI

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Wilneida Negron in the 2026 NY-12 House election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Wilneida Negron ÷ total valid votes cast

KALSHI

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Wilneida Negron in the 2026 NY-12 House election is 4% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Wilneida Negron ÷ total valid votes cast

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/ca5R-G" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="NY-12 House election: Wilneida Negron vote percent"></iframe>

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NY-12 House election: Wilneida Negron vote percent

NY-12 House election: Wilneida Negron vote percent

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Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

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Events (1)

NY-12 House election: Wilneida Negron vote percent

Markets (7)

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

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Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

NY-12 House election: Wilneida Negron vote percent

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?

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