Market snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Atlanta vs New Orleans: Points Leader

Reported volume

K 483.81 contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Atlanta vs New Orleans: Points Leader

Vol

K 483.81 contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

As of Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Zion Williamson at 17.5%.

Kalshi

Zion Williamson17.5%
Jalen Johnson16.5%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker10.5%
Trey Murphy III6%
CJ McCollum5.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

15 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Zion Williamson: Points leader

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Zion Williamson: Points leader	Kalshi	17.5%
Jalen Johnson: Points leader	Kalshi	16.5%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points leader	Kalshi	10.5%
Trey Murphy III: Points leader	Kalshi	6.0%
CJ McCollum: Points leader	Kalshi	5.5%
Onyeka Okongwu: Points leader	Kalshi	3.5%
Jeremiah Fears: Points leader	Kalshi	3.0%
Aaron Wiggins: Points leader	Kalshi	3.0%
Saddiq Bey: Points leader	Kalshi	2.5%
Derik Queen: Points leader	Kalshi	2.5%
Kingston Flemings: Points leader	Kalshi	2.5%
Karlo Matković: Points leader	Kalshi	2.0%
Herbert Jones: Points leader	Kalshi	2.0%
Luguentz Dort: Points leader	Kalshi	2.0%
Dyson Daniels: Points leader	Kalshi	2.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 483.81 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

ATL vs NOP (Oct 31) If X records the most points in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: If multiple players are tied for the most points at the end of the game, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent, where X is the number of tied players, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. If a player is inactive or does not enter the game, they are deemed to have recorded 0 points. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early when the official box score has been published.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Atlanta vs New Orleans: Points Leader
Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 483.81 contracts
Coverage: 15 of 15 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Zion Williamson: Points leader
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNBAPTSLEADER-26OCT31ATLNOP-NOPZWILLIAMSON1; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnbaptsleader-26oct31atlnop
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 17.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 82.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Zion Williamson records the most points in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: If multiple players are tied for the most points at the end of the game, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied players, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. If a player is inactive or does not enter the game, they are deemed to have recorded 0 points.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early when the official box score has been published.

Contract: Trey Murphy III: Points leader
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNBAPTSLEADER-26OCT31ATLNOP-NOPTMURPHY25; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnbaptsleader-26oct31atlnop
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 6.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trey Murphy III records the most points in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: If multiple players are tied for the most points at the end of the game, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied players, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. If a player is inactive or does not enter the game, they are deemed to have recorded 0 points.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early when the official box score has been published.

Contract: Saddiq Bey: Points leader
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNBAPTSLEADER-26OCT31ATLNOP-NOPSBEY41; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnbaptsleader-26oct31atlnop
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 478.56 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Saddiq Bey records the most points in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: If multiple players are tied for the most points at the end of the game, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied players, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. If a player is inactive or does not enter the game, they are deemed to have recorded 0 points.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early when the official box score has been published.

Contract: Karlo Matković: Points leader
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNBAPTSLEADER-26OCT31ATLNOP-NOPKMATKOVIC17; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnbaptsleader-26oct31atlnop
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Karlo Matković records the most points in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: If multiple players are tied for the most points at the end of the game, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied players, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. If a player is inactive or does not enter the game, they are deemed to have recorded 0 points.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early when the official box score has been published.

Contract: Jeremiah Fears: Points leader
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNBAPTSLEADER-26OCT31ATLNOP-NOPJFEARS0; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnbaptsleader-26oct31atlnop
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Jeremiah Fears records the most points in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: If multiple players are tied for the most points at the end of the game, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied players, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. If a player is inactive or does not enter the game, they are deemed to have recorded 0 points.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early when the official box score has been published.

Contract: Herbert Jones: Points leader
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNBAPTSLEADER-26OCT31ATLNOP-NOPHJONES2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnbaptsleader-26oct31atlnop
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Herbert Jones records the most points in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: If multiple players are tied for the most points at the end of the game, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied players, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. If a player is inactive or does not enter the game, they are deemed to have recorded 0 points.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early when the official box score has been published.

Contract: Derik Queen: Points leader
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNBAPTSLEADER-26OCT31ATLNOP-NOPDQUEEN22; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnbaptsleader-26oct31atlnop
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Derik Queen records the most points in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: If multiple players are tied for the most points at the end of the game, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied players, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. If a player is inactive or does not enter the game, they are deemed to have recorded 0 points.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early when the official box score has been published.

Contract: Onyeka Okongwu: Points leader
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNBAPTSLEADER-26OCT31ATLNOP-ATLOOKONGWU17; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnbaptsleader-26oct31atlnop
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Onyeka Okongwu records the most points in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: If multiple players are tied for the most points at the end of the game, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied players, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. If a player is inactive or does not enter the game, they are deemed to have recorded 0 points.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early when the official box score has been published.

Contract: Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points leader
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNBAPTSLEADER-26OCT31ATLNOP-ATLNALEXANDERWALKER7; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnbaptsleader-26oct31atlnop
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 5.25 contracts
Outcome Yes: 10.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 89.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Nickeil Alexander-Walker records the most points in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: If multiple players are tied for the most points at the end of the game, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied players, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. If a player is inactive or does not enter the game, they are deemed to have recorded 0 points.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early when the official box score has been published.

Contract: Luguentz Dort: Points leader
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNBAPTSLEADER-26OCT31ATLNOP-ATLLDORT0; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnbaptsleader-26oct31atlnop
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Luguentz Dort records the most points in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: If multiple players are tied for the most points at the end of the game, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied players, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. If a player is inactive or does not enter the game, they are deemed to have recorded 0 points.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early when the official box score has been published.

Contract: Kingston Flemings: Points leader
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNBAPTSLEADER-26OCT31ATLNOP-ATLKFLEMINGS4; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnbaptsleader-26oct31atlnop
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Kingston Flemings records the most points in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: If multiple players are tied for the most points at the end of the game, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied players, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. If a player is inactive or does not enter the game, they are deemed to have recorded 0 points.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early when the official box score has been published.

Contract: Jalen Johnson: Points leader
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNBAPTSLEADER-26OCT31ATLNOP-ATLJJOHNSON1; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnbaptsleader-26oct31atlnop
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 16.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 83.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Jalen Johnson records the most points in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: If multiple players are tied for the most points at the end of the game, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied players, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. If a player is inactive or does not enter the game, they are deemed to have recorded 0 points.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early when the official box score has been published.

Contract: Dyson Daniels: Points leader
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNBAPTSLEADER-26OCT31ATLNOP-ATLDDANIELS5; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnbaptsleader-26oct31atlnop
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Dyson Daniels records the most points in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: If multiple players are tied for the most points at the end of the game, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied players, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. If a player is inactive or does not enter the game, they are deemed to have recorded 0 points.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early when the official box score has been published.

Contract: CJ McCollum: Points leader
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNBAPTSLEADER-26OCT31ATLNOP-ATLCMCCOLLUM3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnbaptsleader-26oct31atlnop
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 5.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If CJ McCollum records the most points in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: If multiple players are tied for the most points at the end of the game, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied players, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. If a player is inactive or does not enter the game, they are deemed to have recorded 0 points.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early when the official box score has been published.

Contract: Aaron Wiggins: Points leader
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNBAPTSLEADER-26OCT31ATLNOP-ATLAWIGGINS2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnbaptsleader-26oct31atlnop
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Aaron Wiggins records the most points in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: If multiple players are tied for the most points at the end of the game, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied players, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. If a player is inactive or does not enter the game, they are deemed to have recorded 0 points.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early when the official box score has been published.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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