Snapshot observed 2026-10-23T00:00:06.081Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The supplied Kalshi event covers the OCS Korea Stage 3 2026 Overwatch match between Crazy Raccoon and ZETA DIVISION, which the rules describe as "originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026" [1]. The two markets in the sample ask different questions. One asks whether ZETA DIVISION wins the match, and the other asks whether Crazy Raccoon wins [1]. The rules say that if X wins, the market resolves to Yes, and the market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1].

The rules also set out special cases. If the match is postponed and does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, or if it is cancelled before play begins or forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to the fair market price [1]. If play begins and the match is later forfeited, the market resolves according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer [1]. Readers comparing contracts should check these terms before treating a price as a forecast of a win.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-23T00:00:06.081Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-23T03:01:18.784Z [1]. These are times for a past snapshot, not live prices. Both markets list an end date of 2026-10-27T09:00:00.000Z [1]. That is a listed close time in the market data, not a confirmed match date. The source excerpt separately says the listed end time is "not supplied," so the two fields should be read with that difference in mind [1].

In the saved snapshot, the ZETA DIVISION Yes contract was priced at 0.5 and the No contract at 0.5 [1]. The Crazy Raccoon Yes contract was priced at 0.465 and the No contract at 0.535 [1]. These are quoted snapshot values, not executable prices or verified probabilities. The two Yes prices do not sum to 1 and should not be combined or averaged into a single estimate. Because the markets ask different questions, a gap between them does not by itself indicate a trading opportunity.

What remains uncertain

The sample includes both saved markets for this single Kalshi event, so it is not a partial sample [1]. The provider's sample warning still applies: it "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. The data also does not include other platforms, current prices, trading volume, or the number of participants. The supplied evidence does not explain why prices are where they are, and it contains no reports on the teams, the match, or its schedule beyond the contract rules.

References

1. Kalshi: OCS Korea Stage 3 2026: Crazy Raccoon vs. ZETA DIVISION. Provider data observed 2026-10-23T00:00:06.081Z.