Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

League Phase Top 8 Finishers

Total Volume

$3.60K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

League Phase Top 8 Finishers

Vol

$3.60K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $3.60K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.60K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

36 markets tracked

Will Arsenal finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(36)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Arsenal finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	77%
Will Bayern Munich finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	75%
Will Barcelona finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	73%
Will Real Madrid finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	72%
Will PSG finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	63%
Will Manchester City finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	63%
Will Liverpool finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	63%
Will Bodoe/Glimt finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	51%
Will Shakhtar finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	50%
Will Dortmund finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	48%
Will Manchester United finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	39%
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	39%
Will Inter finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	38%
Will Lens finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	37%
Will Real Betis finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	34%
Will Sabah Masazir finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	33%
Will Viking finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	32%
Will Lille finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	32%
Will Club Brugge finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	32%
Will Slavia Prague finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	28%
Will LASK finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	28%
Will Roma finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	25%
Will Atletico finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	23%
Will Feyenoord finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	22%
Will Stuttgart finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	22%
Will Porto finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	22%
Will Como finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	21%
Will Napoli finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	21%
Will Villarreal finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	20%
Will Fenerbahce finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	20%
Will PSV Eindhoven finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	18%
Will Slovan Bratislava finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	17%
Will AEK Athens finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	14%
Will Sporting CP finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	14%
Will Leipzig finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	14%
Will Galatasaray finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?	Kalshi	8%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

77%

Top Probability

$3.60K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026-27 If X finishes in the top 8 in the league phase of the 2026-27 Champions League, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** League Phase Top 8 Finishers
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026-27

If X finishes in the top 8 in the league phase of the 2026-27 Champions League, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Villarreal finishes in the top 8 in the league phase of the 2026-27 Champions League, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand nam"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Villarreal finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Viking finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Stuttgart finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $45
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Sporting CP finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Slovan Bratislava finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Slavia Prague finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Shakhtar finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Sabah Masazir finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Roma finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Real Madrid finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $61
  DATA: [Yes: 71.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Lens finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Leipzig finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Real Betis finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $18
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will PSV Eindhoven finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will PSG finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Napoli finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Manchester United finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $45
  DATA: [Yes: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Manchester City finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $30
  DATA: [Yes: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Lille finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Liverpool finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $12
  DATA: [Yes: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Inter finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $303
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Galatasaray finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $85
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Feyenoord finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Fenerbahce finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Porto finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $139
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Como finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $14
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Dortmund finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $218
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Club Brugge finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $13
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Bodoe/Glimt finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $112
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Bayern Munich finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $355
  DATA: [Yes: 74.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Barcelona finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $161
  DATA: [Yes: 73.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Aston Villa finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Atletico finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $276
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will LASK finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Arsenal finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $22
  DATA: [Yes: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.5% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will AEK Athens finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 11, 2027): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

League Phase Top 8 Finishers

Volume$3.60K

Markets36

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KALSHI

Will Arsenal finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 76.5¢No 23.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Arsenal finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

If Arsenal finishes in the top 8 in the league phase of the 2026-27 Champions League, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names

KALSHI

Will Bayern Munich finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 74.5¢No 25.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Bayern Munich finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

If Bayern Munich finishes in the top 8 in the league phase of the 2026-27 Champions League, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand

KALSHI

Will Barcelona finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 73.0¢No 27.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Barcelona finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

If Barcelona finishes in the top 8 in the league phase of the 2026-27 Champions League, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand name

KALSHI

Will Real Madrid finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 71.5¢No 28.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Real Madrid finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

If Real Madrid finishes in the top 8 in the league phase of the 2026-27 Champions League, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand na

KALSHI

Will PSG finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 63.0¢No 37.0¢

KALSHISports

Will PSG finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

If PSG finishes in the top 8 in the league phase of the 2026-27 Champions League, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are

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Average Yes Price

36¢

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Will Arsenal finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

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Events (1)

League Phase Top 8 Finishers

Markets (36)

Will Arsenal finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

Will Arsenal finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

Will Bayern Munich finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

Will Bayern Munich finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

Will Barcelona finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

Will Barcelona finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

Will Real Madrid finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

Will Real Madrid finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

Will PSG finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

Will PSG finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

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Will Arsenal finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

League Phase Top 8 Finishers

Will Arsenal finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

Will Arsenal finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

Will Bayern Munich finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

Will Bayern Munich finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

Will Barcelona finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

Will Barcelona finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

Will Real Madrid finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

Will Real Madrid finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

Will PSG finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

Will PSG finish in the top 8 of the table in the league phase for the Champions League?

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