Market snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

eSoccer: FC Bayern (Holis) vs Werder Bremen (Fede)

Reported volume

K 94.73 contracts

Events

Markets

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eSoccer: FC Bayern (Holis) vs Werder Bremen (Fede)

Vol

K 94.73 contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Provider overview

polymarket

Reported lifetime volume

kalshi

94.73 contracts

Reported lifetime volume

Reviewed equivalent pairs

No eligible price comparison

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Price ChartContract price history

3 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Werder Bremen (Fede) wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Werder Bremen (Fede) wins	Kalshi	85.0%
Game ends in a tie	Kalshi	39.5%
FC Bayern (Holis) wins	Kalshi	37.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 94.73 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

HOLI vs FEDE (Oct 19) If X Y Z vs Werder Bremen, Fede, professional Valhalla Cup 2026 Week #43 eSoccer match originally scheduled for Oct 19, 2026 at 7:52 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is based on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. This does not include extra time or penalties. If the match is cancelled or postponed more than 2 weeks from its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to $0.33. If the match is postponed but begins within 2 weeks of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: eSoccer: FC Bayern (Holis) vs Werder Bremen (Fede)
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 94.73 contracts
Coverage: 3 of 3 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Game ends in a tie
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXESOCCERGAME-26OCT190752HOLIFEDE-TIE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxesoccergame-26oct190752holifede
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 11:52 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 39.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 60.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Werder Bremen (Fede) and FC Bayern (Holis) tie in the FC Bayern (Holis) vs Werder Bremen (Fede) professional Valhalla Cup 2026 Week #43 eSoccer match originally scheduled for Oct 19, 2026 at 7:52 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is based on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. This does not include extra time or penalties. If the match is cancelled or postponed more than 2 weeks from its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to $0.33. If the match is postponed but begins within 2 weeks of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: FC Bayern (Holis) wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXESOCCERGAME-26OCT190752HOLIFEDE-HOLI; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxesoccergame-26oct190752holifede
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 11:52 AM UTC
Reported volume: 31.62 contracts
Outcome Yes: 37.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 63.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If FC Bayern (Holis) wins the FC Bayern (Holis) vs Werder Bremen (Fede) professional Valhalla Cup 2026 Week #43 eSoccer match originally scheduled for Oct 19, 2026 at 7:52 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is based on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. This does not include extra time or penalties. If the match is cancelled or postponed more than 2 weeks from its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to $0.33. If the match is postponed but begins within 2 weeks of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Werder Bremen (Fede) wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXESOCCERGAME-26OCT190752HOLIFEDE-FEDE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxesoccergame-26oct190752holifede
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 11:52 AM UTC
Reported volume: 63.11 contracts
Outcome Yes: 85.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 15.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Werder Bremen (Fede) wins the FC Bayern (Holis) vs Werder Bremen (Fede) professional Valhalla Cup 2026 Week #43 eSoccer match originally scheduled for Oct 19, 2026 at 7:52 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is based on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. This does not include extra time or penalties. If the match is cancelled or postponed more than 2 weeks from its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to $0.33. If the match is postponed but begins within 2 weeks of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

eSoccer: FC Bayern (Holis) vs Werder Bremen (Fede)

Volume$94.73

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

Werder Bremen (Fede) wins

kalshi

Werder Bremen (Fede) wins

Yes: 85.0¢
No: 15.0¢

Game ends in a tie

kalshi

Game ends in a tie

Yes: 39.5¢
No: 60.5¢

FC Bayern (Holis) wins

kalshi

FC Bayern (Holis) wins

Yes: 37.0¢
No: 63.0¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiSports

Bundesliga Relegation

PM $0 · K 26.8K contracts

Will Union Berlin finish 15th in the 2026-27 Bundesliga?

Kalshi: Will Union Berlin be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

Related contracts

PM Yes 50%Rules differK Yes 54%

Will 1. FC Köln finish 15th in the 2026-27 Bundesliga?

Kalshi: Will FC Cologne be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

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PM Yes 50%Rules differK Yes 51.5%

Will Borussia Dortmund finish 15th in the 2026-27 Bundesliga?

Kalshi: Will Dortmund be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

Related contracts

PM Yes 50%Rules differK Yes 6%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

18 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiSports

Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers

PM $10.7K · K 99.24 contracts

Will Bayern Munich finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?

Kalshi: Will Bayern Munich finish in the top 4 in the Bundesliga season?

Related contracts

PM Yes 98.2%Rules differK Yes 84%

Will Borussia Dortmund finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?

Kalshi: Will Dortmund finish in the top 4 in the Bundesliga season?

Related contracts

PM Yes 85%Rules differK Yes 48.5%

Will Bayer Leverkusen finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?

Kalshi: Will Leverkusen finish in the top 4 in the Bundesliga season?

Related contracts

PM Yes 80.5%Rules differK Yes 49.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

18 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jun 6, 2027 UTC

KalshiSports

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Next Market Deadline

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Nov 02, 2026, 11:52 AM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Reviewed equivalent pairs

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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