ZCash Up or Down - November 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - November 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Nov 2, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-02T00:00:06.223Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "ZCash Up or Down - November 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET" [1]. According to the provider excerpt, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range" [1]. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the provider states that the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a ZCash price on another exchange or data feed should expect that the resolution basis may differ.
The provider lists an end time of 2026-11-02T12:45:00.000Z [1]. This is the listed close time, not a resolution result. The excerpt does not report a final outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-11-02T00:00:06.223Z and retrieved at 2026-11-02T01:09:02.234Z [1]. Both times are earlier than the listed end time, but the sheet does not show current prices. Any reader should treat these figures as a record of that observation, not a live quote.
The quoted prices are Up at 0.5 and Down at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices. They are not executable quotes, not verified probabilities, and not evidence of how traders will act. The sample contains one market from one provider event, and it is complete for that event (partialSample is false) [1]. Because there is only one contract, there is no cross-contract comparison in this snapshot, and the data does not support any claim about why the prices sit where they do.
The volume field is not provided in this evidence, so no statement about liquidity or number of traders is possible.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include the outcome, the price of ZCash at the start of the window, the TWAP value over the window, or any post-snapshot price history. It also does not show whether the provider's status has changed since retrieval. The sample warning notes that the saved markets "do not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1], though this contract has only the two binary outcomes shown.
A reader should check the provider page and the Chainlink stream directly for the current status and the eventual resolution.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - November 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-02T00:00:06.223Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 2, 2026 UTCOverview
PredictPedia's ZCash contract is a short-window price market on Polymarket, titled "ZCash Up or Down - November 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET" [1]. It asks whether ZEC's price over one five-minute window will finish at or above where that window started. The provider rules say the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The measure is specific. The rules name the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink as the resolution source and state that the market concerns that data stream, not other sources or spot markets [1]. A trader reading the contract therefore needs to understand the Chainlink TWAP calculation and not only the headline ZEC price on a given exchange. The provider lists an end time of 2026-11-02T12:45:00Z for this event [1]. That is the listed end time in the contract information. It is not a record of when the market actually resolved, and the evidence does not show a resolution outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures direction over a short interval rather than a price target. Because the test compares the average price across the window with the price at the window's start, the result depends on the Chainlink TWAP data stream and not only on where the price ends the window [1]. Readers should separate what the rules define from what any price displayed on the platform reflects, since the rules say other sources and spot markets do not control the outcome [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-02 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this contract resolve Up?
According to the provider rules, the market resolves Up if the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What makes this contract resolve Down?
The rules say the market resolves Down if the condition for Up is not met, meaning the TWAP over the range is below the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which data source decides the outcome?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream named in the rules [1]. The rules state that other sources or spot markets are not the basis for resolution [1].
When does this market end?
The provider lists the end time as 2026-11-02T12:45:00Z [1]. This is the listed end time, and the supplied evidence does not show when or how the market was resolved.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.