Gargzdai Basketball vs BC Juventus Utena
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Gargzdai Basketball vs BC Juventus Utena
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
2
Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
About This Event
GAB vs JUV (Oct 18) If X wins the Gargzdai Basketball vs BC Juventus Utena men's professional Lithuania LKL basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 at 9:50 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T03:00:06.448Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied Kalshi event covers a men's professional Lithuania LKL basketball game between Gargzdai Basketball and BC Juventus Utena, listed for October 18, 2026 at 9:50 AM EDT [1]. The rules state that the market resolves to Yes "If X wins" the game, but the excerpt does not say which team "X" refers to, so the two separate markets are the clearer guide to what each contract pays on [1].
The rules also set out postponement and cancellation terms. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market stays open and resolves on the official final result. If it is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, "all markets will resolve to a fair price" [1]. Readers should check these terms before relying on either contract.
Reading the snapshot
The saved prices were observed at 2026-10-17T03:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-17T05:42:40Z [1]. These are snapshots, not live or executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
- "BC Juventus Utena wins" is quoted at 0.74 Yes and 0.26 No [1].
- "Gargzdai Basketball wins" is quoted at 0.24 Yes and 0.76 No [1].
Within this snapshot, the two Yes prices sum to 0.98, and the two No prices sum to 1.02. Price differences between these contracts do not establish an arbitrage opportunity, since fees, spreads, and settlement terms are not in the evidence. The listed endDate for both markets is 2026-10-20T13:50:00Z, which is later than the scheduled start [1]. The supplied source does not explain this gap, and it lists the event end time as "not supplied" [1]. Volume data is not included, so nothing here indicates liquidity or the number of traders.
What remains uncertain
Both markets are included in the saved sample, with 2 of 2 markets listed and no partial sample flag [1]. The sample warning states that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Only one platform is included, so no cross-platform comparison is possible.
The evidence does not include the game's current status, any reason for the prices, recent news, or the official final result. The snapshot describes only the observed moment and should not be read as the current price.
References
- Kalshi: Gargzdai Basketball vs BC Juventus Utena. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T03:00:06.448Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a binary prediction market on a men's professional Lithuania LKL basketball game between Gargzdai Basketball and BC Juventus Utena. The contract is hosted by Kalshi and is linked to a game originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:50 AM EDT [1]. The contract text states that if the named team wins, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The market has two listed contracts, one for BC Juventus Utena winning and one for Gargzdai Basketball winning [1]. The rules also cover game disruptions. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result [1]. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets resolve to a fair price [1]. The contract states that the market will close and expire after a winner is declared [1]. The saved market record lists an end date of October 20, 2026 at 13:50 UTC [1]. That date appears in the market data and is not a confirmed result date or an announced event date. The contract is provided by Kalshi, which states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing league [1]. Prices shown for these contracts are snapshots of the provider's order information at a point in time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of either team winning.
Historical Context
BC Juventus, commonly known as Juventus Utena, is a professional basketball club based in Utena, Lithuania. It was founded in 1999 and plays domestically in the Lithuanian Basketball League (LKL) and internationally in the Basketball Champions League [2]. This background describes the club, not the specific game or its outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the named team wins the specified game under the rules stated by the provider [1]. Because the two listed contracts refer to opposite results in the same game, each one resolves according to the official final result of that game, subject to the postponement and cancellation terms [1]. The contract is useful for understanding how a single game's result, and the rules for delays or cancellations, translate into a traded yes or no outcome [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What event does this contract cover?
It covers the Gargzdai Basketball vs BC Juventus Utena men's professional Lithuania LKL basketball game originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:50 AM EDT [1].
What happens if the game is postponed?
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result [1].
What happens if the game is cancelled?
If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets resolve to a fair price [1].
When does the market close?
The contract states that the market will close and expire after a winner is declared [1]. The saved record lists an end date of October 20, 2026 at 13:50 UTC, which is a market data field rather than a confirmed result date [1].
Is the provider connected to the league?
Kalshi states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing league [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
