Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T03:00:06.402Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The contract is titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET" and is listed on Polymarket [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
The rules name a specific resolution source: the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink [1]. The source states that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. The title says "Hyperliquid," but the resolution is tied to that data stream, so a reader should compare against that specific feed rather than a general price for the name.
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T21:50:00.000Z [1]. The title's clock times are given in ET, so readers should check that the UTC listing matches the window they care about.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-28T03:00:06.402Z and retrieved at 2026-10-28T05:36:08.405Z [1]. These are two different times, and the prices describe the observation time, not the moment you read this note. The provider status at retrieval was active [1].
The saved prices are "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The gap between them is small, and it describes only this observation. The snapshot does not include volume or order-book depth, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many traders are involved.
The coverage record lists one market for this event, with no partial sample [1]. Because the snapshot holds only this one contract, there are no other outcomes in the record to compare against.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the current price, the price at the start of the window, or whether the contract has resolved. It also does not explain any movement in the price. Because the snapshot is from a single observation, a later reading could differ. Readers should check the live contract page and the Chainlink stream directly before relying on any figure.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-28T03:00:06.402Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 28, 2026 UTCOverview
This market is a short-window price direction contract on Hyperliquid's HYPE/USD price. The title, Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET, names the time range being measured. According to the contract rules, it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over that time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The measurement is tied to a specific data feed. The stated resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules also say the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink TWAP data stream for the HYPE/USD pair, not any other source or spot market [1]. A trader therefore needs to focus on how that feed moves over the window, not on what a different exchange or aggregator shows at the same moment. The listed end time is 2026-10-28T21:50:00.000Z, and the provider lists the event as active [1]. The sample was observed at 2026-10-28T03:00:06.402Z and retrieved from the provider at 2026-10-28T05:36:08.425Z [1]. The contract's end time is a rule setting, not a record that the window has already closed or that a result has been reported.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average price of HYPE/USD, as reported in a specified Chainlink data stream, over the 5:45PM to 5:50PM ET range is at or above the price at the start of that range [1]. Because the outcome depends on an average over the window rather than a single closing print, short-term movements inside the window affect the result differently than a comparison of two endpoint prices would. The rules also limit the outcome to that one feed, so the contract reflects the Chainlink TWAP reading, not a general view of HYPE's price across venues [1]. At the observation time captured in the sample, the single saved market showed Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-28 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
It resolves to "Up" if the TWAP of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price feed is used for resolution?
The stated resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink. The rules say the market is about that Chainlink feed and not other sources or spot markets [1].
What time window does the contract cover?
The title gives the window as 5:45PM to 5:50PM ET on October 28. The listed end time in the provider data is 2026-10-28T21:50:00.000Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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