Botafogo vs Chapecoense: First Half Total
K 2.8K contracts
1
3
Botafogo vs Chapecoense: First Half Total
K 2.8K contracts
1
3
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 2.8K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
About This Event
BOT vs CHA (Oct 17) If the total goals scored by Botafogo and Chapecoense is more than X goals in the 1st Half of the Botafogo vs Chapecoense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Botafogo vs Chapecoense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Only goals scored during the 1st Half count towards this market. This market will close and expire after the half ends.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T06:00:06.025Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied Kalshi event asks about goals scored in the first half of the Botafogo vs Chapecoense Brasileiro Serie A game, which was originally scheduled for October 17, 2026. The rules state that "If the total goals scored by Botafogo and Chapecoense is more than X goals in the 1st Half" the market resolves to Yes, and that "Only goals scored during the 1st Half count towards this market" [1]. The three contracts in the sample are thresholds of over 0.5, over 1.5, and over 2.5 first-half goals. Each has its own Yes and No prices.
The rules also cover disruption. If the game "is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away," the market resolves "to a fair price in accordance with the rules" [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-17T06:00:06Z, and the evidence was retrieved at 2026-10-17T06:43:28Z [1]. The observed Yes prices were 0.78 for over 0.5 goals, 0.43 for over 1.5 goals, and 0.18 for over 2.5 goals. Each threshold is a separate contract, so the three prices should be read on their own terms. They should not be combined or averaged. A lower price on a higher threshold reflects that contract's own rules, not a trend across the event.
The listed market end date is 2026-10-19T21:00:00Z for all three contracts. The event excerpt, however, says "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. The excerpt also says the market "will close and expire after the half ends" [1]. These statements are not fully consistent, so the listed date should be treated as a provider field, not a confirmed closing or resolution time. It is also not an announced match time.
Prices are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Trading volume and the number of participants were not supplied, so this sample says nothing about liquidity.
What remains uncertain
The sample includes all three saved markets for this event, and the coverage record marks it as not partial [1]. However, the sample warning states that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Only one provider appears in the evidence, so no cross-platform comparison is possible.
The evidence does not show whether the match was played, rescheduled, or cancelled, or how the first-half total will end. It also does not explain any price movement. Users should check the provider's current rules and status before relying on these figures.
References
- Kalshi: Botafogo vs Chapecoense: First Half Total. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T06:00:06.025Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a prediction-market contract on the first-half goal total for Botafogo versus Chapecoense, a Brasileiro Serie A match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 [1]. The contract is listed on Kalshi and was observed in a saved snapshot taken at 06:00 UTC on October 17, 2026, with source retrieval shortly after [1]. The provider's rules describe three related markets, each asking whether the total number of goals scored by both teams in the first half will be more than a given threshold: over 0.5, over 1.5, and over 2.5 goals [1]. A Yes outcome resolves when the first-half total exceeds the threshold named in that market, and each market is separate even though they share one fixture [1]. The contract counts only goals scored during the first half. Goals in the second half, including stoppage time after the first half, are excluded under the rules as summarized here [1]. The provider states that the market will close and expire after the half ends [1]. The saved market data lists an end date, but the provider's event record marks its listed end time as not supplied [1]. That end date is a provider field, not an announced match time or confirmed event schedule. The rules also address disruption. If the game is cancelled, or rescheduled to a time more than 48 hours away, the market resolves to a fair price under the provider's rules rather than to a simple Yes or No [1]. Readers should check the full rules on the provider's page for the exact wording of that adjustment. The saved prices for the three markets are snapshots taken at the observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome. The price of a Yes contract reflects what trading showed at that moment on that platform, and the three thresholds are separate contracts that should not be compared as a single ranking.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow, time-limited outcome: whether the two clubs combine for more goals than a chosen threshold during the first half of one scheduled match [1]. Because it covers only the first half, it reflects scoring in that period rather than the final result of the game [1]. Its rules on cancellation, rescheduling and early closure determine how a position would settle if the match does not proceed as planned [1]. Readers interested in how the contract is structured should focus on those rules, the threshold for each market, and the timing language, rather than treating any snapshot price as a forecast.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes outcome mean on this contract?
A Yes outcome means the total goals scored by Botafogo and Chapecoense in the first half exceed the threshold named in that specific market, such as more than 0.5, 1.5 or 2.5 goals [1].
Do goals scored after the first half count?
No. The rules state that only goals scored during the first half count toward the market [1].
What happens if the match is cancelled or rescheduled?
If the game is cancelled, or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the provider's rules rather than a simple Yes or No result [1].
When does the market close?
The provider says the market closes and expires after the half ends [1]. The saved data also lists an end date, but the event record says its listed end time was not supplied, so that date should not be read as an official match schedule [1].
Does a price of a given level mean the outcome is likely?
A saved price is a snapshot from one observation time and is not an executable quote or a verified probability [1]. It shows the market level at that moment, not a confirmed likelihood of the goal total.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
