Solana Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET
PM $0
1
1
Solana Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract is a one-hour candle question. It resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time in the title, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The source names Binance SOL/USDT as the resolution source and says that other exchanges and trading pairs do not count [1]. The rules also say the open and close shown on the Binance chart for that candle will be used once the data is finalized [1].
The provider lists an end time of 2026-10-21T09:00:00.000Z, and the title reads "October 21, 4AM ET" [1]. Readers should convert the title time to UTC themselves and compare it with the listed end time, since the two are not explained in the source. The listed end time is a provider field, not a separately announced event.
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation is dated 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-19T09:22:11.691Z [1]. These times describe when the data was recorded, not the present moment. Any reading of the prices should be tied to that observation time.
At that observation, the saved prices were 0.505 for "Up" and 0.495 for "Down" [1]. These are snapshot values, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The two prices sum to 1.000 in this record, which is consistent with a binary pair, but the snapshot does not show bid and ask spreads or the depth available to trade.
The sample covers one provider event with one market, and the coverage record marks the sample as complete for that saved event [1]. The record does not include volume for this market, so no liquidity or participation conclusions can be drawn from it.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices stand where they are, and this analysis does not attempt to do so. It also does not show what the price was at any time after the observation, or what the Binance candle will show when it closes. The rules name a single exchange pair, so a reader comparing this contract with a Solana market on another platform or with a different candle definition should not treat the prices as directly comparable. Differences in wording, such as the resolution source or the candle time, can change what each contract pays out, even when the question looks similar.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a short-term price direction market on Polymarket, titled "Solana Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET." It asks whether the price of Solana (SOL) will rise or fall over one specific one-hour window. The contract resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time and date in the title. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair. The open and close shown for the relevant 1H candle on Binance's chart are used once that candle's data is finalized [1]. The market concerns the Binance SOL/USDT price only, not prices on other exchanges or other trading pairs [1]. Because the outcome depends on one exchange and one trading pair, a reader should check the Binance candle directly when following how the contract resolves. The listed end time for the contract is 2026-10-21T09:00:00.000Z [1]. The title refers to 4AM ET, and the listed end time is shown in UTC. The contract's rules tie resolution to the candle beginning at the title's time, so the listed end time and the title should be read as separate pieces of information. The provider's status for this event is recorded as active [1]. The price snapshot available for this event shows Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These figures were observed at 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z. They are a point-in-time reading, not an executable quote, and they are not a verified probability of either outcome. The sample includes only this single market for the event, with both outcomes listed.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether SOL's price on Binance, as shown in one hourly candle, finishes at or above where that candle opened. It is narrow by design: it does not track Solana's price over a longer period, and it does not reflect other exchanges [1]. Readers can use the contract's listed rules to see exactly what outcome is being priced. The recorded prices show how the market was valued at one moment, which is useful for understanding the contract's terms but does not indicate how it will resolve.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
The market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date in the title. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price source is used to resolve the contract?
The resolution source is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair. The open and close shown for the relevant 1H candle are used once the candle's data is finalized [1].
Do prices on other exchanges affect the outcome?
No. The market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs [1].
What does the recorded price mean?
The recorded prices of 0.505 for Up and 0.495 for Down were observed at 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z [1]. They are snapshots rather than executable quotes or verified probabilities.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Solana Up or Down - October 20, 4AM ET
PM $0Solana Up or Down - October 21, 12AM ET
PM $0Solana Up or Down - October 21, 1AM ET
PM $0Solana Up or Down - October 21, 2AM ET
PM $0Solana Up or Down - October 21, 3AM ET
PM $0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.