Virginia gas prices tomorrow
K 8.6K contracts
1
17
Virginia gas prices tomorrow
K 8.6K contracts
1
17
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above 4.0600 at 99%.
Kalshi
- Above 4.060099%
- Above 4.055099%
- Above 4.090094.5%
- Above 4.085094.5%
- Above 4.080094.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 8.6K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
17
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
On Oct 21, 2026 If average regular gas prices for Virginia are strictly greater than X on Oct 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-20T00:00:06.267Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The event is titled "Virginia gas prices tomorrow" in the Economics category [1]. Its rule states: "If average regular gas prices for Virginia are strictly greater than X on Oct 20, 2026, according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. Each listed market uses a different threshold X, shown in its title, such as "$4.0450" [1]. All sampled markets come from Kalshi, so this record offers no cross-platform comparison.
Timing matters. The observation time is 2026-10-20T00:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-20T00:18:36Z [1]. The rule refers to a measurement on Oct 20, 2026, but each market lists an end date of 2026-10-27T14:00:00Z, while the event's listed end time is recorded as not supplied [1]. The evidence does not explain this difference, so readers should check the platform's rules for settlement timing.
Reading the snapshot
Coverage is partial: 12 of 27 markets from this event are included [1]. The sample ranks markets by Yes price, highest first, then by volume [1]. The 15 omitted markets have no prices in this record, so no conclusion about them should be drawn.
Among the included thresholds, Yes prices range from 0.985 at $4.0450 to 0.68 at $4.0400 [1]. Four thresholds from $4.0250 to $4.0500 all show Yes at 0.68 and No at 0.32 [1]. Thresholds at $4.0750, $4.0700, and $4.0800 show Yes at 0.735, 0.725, and 0.69 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Volume is not interpreted here, since it does not indicate liquidity or the number of traders.
Differences between thresholds reflect different contract wording, so they should not be read as an arbitrage opportunity.
What remains uncertain
The record does not explain why any price changed, how many traders hold each view, or whether any news affected the market. It does not include the AAA value for the measurement date. Because the snapshot was observed in the early hours of Oct 20 UTC, it describes that moment only and should not be treated as a current price.
References
- Kalshi: Virginia gas prices tomorrow. Provider data observed 2026-10-20T00:00:06.267Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 20, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a Kalshi event titled "Virginia gas prices tomorrow." Its rules say the market resolves to Yes if average regular gas prices for Virginia are strictly greater than a stated threshold X on October 20, 2026, according to AAA [1]. Each market in the event uses a different threshold, so each one asks whether the same average price will land above a different dollar level on that date. The event is listed in the Economics category and its provider status is active [1]. The source does not supply a listed end time for the event, so the page does not state when trading closes or when the result is confirmed. The market records in the saved snapshot carry an end date of October 27, 2026, but that is a field in the stored market data, not a separately announced resolution event. For background on what the price tracks, a filling station is a facility that sells fuel and engine lubricants for motor vehicles. It receives fuel from refineries, stores it in tanks, and sells it to motorists at a price that varies daily [2]. That description explains why a retail average can change from day to day, but it does not describe the Virginia average used in this contract or the methodology AAA applies.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single day's statewide average price for regular gasoline in Virginia, as reported by AAA, compared with a threshold set for each market [1]. Someone reading the thresholds can see how the price contracts divide the range of possible averages into separate yes or no questions. Because the rules compare the average to a strict threshold, a result exactly equal to a threshold would not resolve that market to Yes [1]. The saved snapshot shows Yes prices for twelve thresholds, ranging from $4.0250 to $4.0800 [1]. These are snapshot prices from the provider record, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. They reflect the state of the market at the time of observation and should not be read as a forecast of the actual average on October 20, 2026.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-20 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Virginia gas prices contract ask?
It asks whether the average regular gas price in Virginia, according to AAA, will be strictly greater than a stated threshold on October 20, 2026 [1]. Each separate market uses a different threshold.
Who determines the result?
The contract rules name AAA as the source for the average price used in resolution [1].
Does a price near 0.68 or 0.98 mean that gas prices will be above the threshold?
No. The displayed prices are snapshot values from the provider record, not verified probabilities or executable quotes, so they do not establish what the average will be [1].
Why is the market sample described as partial?
The saved event lists 27 markets, but only 12 are included in this sample [1]. The sample is limited to the included markets, so the omitted thresholds are not shown and should not be inferred from the displayed ones.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
