ZCash Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-29T18:00:06.063Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract covers a single 5-minute window. According to the rules, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The title names the window as 11:40PM to 11:45PM ET on October 29 [1].
The rules name a specific data source: the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink. They also state that the market "is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this with a ZCash price on another exchange or data feed should expect that the two may not match, because the resolution source is different.
The listed end time is 2026-10-30T03:45:00.000Z [1]. That is the close of the window, not an announced event. The evidence does not include the actual resolution outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-29T18:00:06.063Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-30T01:37:04.313Z [1]. These are different times. The prices describe the market at the observation time only. They are not a live feed and should not be read as the current price of the contract.
At that observation, the Polymarket market showed "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. A reader should not infer the direction of the market or any trader view from an equal split.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage data reports one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. Because the sample is complete for this saved event, nothing was omitted. The evidence does not show whether other ZCash contracts exist on other platforms.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include the price at the start of the window, the TWAP during the window, or the final result. It also does not show whether the status recorded at observation, "active," still applies today [1]. The snapshot cannot tell a reader how many people traded or how much liquidity the market had.
Contracts with different wording, windows, or data sources should not be compared as if they measured the same event, even when their prices differ.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-29T18:00:06.063Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 30, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-interval price contract on ZCash, listed on Polymarket under the title "ZCash Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET" [1]. The contract is categorized as Crypto and has two outcomes, Up and Down [1]. The source describes it as a market that resolves based on the time-weighted average price of ZCash over the time range in the title, measured against the price at the beginning of that range [1]. The rules define the outcome in a specific way. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price over the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The comparison is therefore between an average over the interval and a starting reference point, not between the price at the start and the price at the end of the window. The listed resolution source is Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, identified in the rules as the 60-second TWAP stream [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream for the ZEC/USD pair, and not other sources or spot markets [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a price on another exchange should expect the two figures to be measured differently. The listed end time for this contract is 2026-10-30T03:45:00.000Z [1]. That is the time stated in the contract listing and is not a record of when the market actually settled. The saved provider status at retrieval was active [1]. The contract's price snapshot shows both outcomes at the same value at the observation time, but a snapshot is not an executable quote or a probability estimate.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average price of ZCash, as reported by a specified Chainlink data stream, over a fixed five-minute window is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the outcome depends on a time-weighted average rather than a single trade, the result reflects how the price moved across the whole interval as recorded by that feed. The rules also make the data stream the reference point, so the contract is about that feed's readings and not about every market where ZCash trades [1]. Its title identifies the exact window, which is the period the rules evaluate [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-29 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this contract resolve to Up?
It resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price of ZCash over the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window [1].
Which price source determines the result?
The rules point to Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and state that other sources or spot markets are not the basis for resolution [1].
Does the listed end time mean the contract has settled?
The listed end time is 2026-10-30T03:45:00.000Z [1]. The source records that time as the listed end and reports the provider status as active at retrieval, so it does not establish a final outcome [1].
Are the Up and Down prices a forecast of the result?
The source reports prices for the two outcomes at the time of observation [1]. These snapshots are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and the source does not explain them further.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.