Snapshot observed 2026-10-20T06:00:05.944Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The supplied rules describe a Kalshi event on the Porto vs Eindhoven Champions League match. Each contract resolves to Yes if Porto and Eindhoven combined record at least a set number of corners during the entire game, including regulation, stoppage time and any extra time [1]. The rule text uses the placeholder "X" for that number. The five saved markets fill it in as 7+, 8+, 9+, 10+ and 11+ total corners [1]. The rules also say the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1]. They describe the match as "originally scheduled for Oct 20, 2026" [1], which describes the schedule and does not confirm when or whether the game was played.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 06:00 UTC on October 20, 2026, and the record was retrieved at 07:48 UTC the same day [1]. Treat the figures as a record of that observation, not as current quotes. Yes prices fall as the corner threshold rises: 0.875 for 7+, 0.735 for 8+, 0.62 for 9+, 0.5 for 10+ and 0.39 for 11+ [1]. Each No price is the other side of the same contract. Because a higher threshold requires at least as many corners as a lower one, the Yes prices should not rise as the threshold rises, and the saved figures follow that pattern.

These are quoted snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The supplied data does not report depth, volume in the reader's sense, or trader counts, so the prices do not show how many people hold each view. Do not average these contracts into one figure.

The listed end time for all five markets is 19:00 UTC on October 22, 2026 [1]. That is a listed close time in the market data, not an announced event date and not a resolution. The rules excerpt separately says the listed end time is "not supplied," so check the provider page before relying on it.

What remains uncertain

All five saved markets for this event are included, and the sample is not flagged as partial. However, the sample warning states that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. A threshold that is not in the sample should not be read as priced lower or higher.

Only Kalshi appears in the evidence, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. The supplied material does not explain why prices sit where they do. The markets were active at observation, and no resolution appears in the evidence.

References

1. Kalshi: Porto vs Eindhoven: Total Corners. Provider data observed 2026-10-20T06:00:05.944Z.