Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This is a short-window price contract for ZCash, listed as "ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET" [1]. The stated rule is that the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The comparison is therefore between a TWAP over the window and the starting price, not a single spot price at the close.

The resolution source is specified as the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the source states that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a ZCash market on another venue should check whether that venue uses the same data stream, window, and comparison rule, since differences in any of these would make the contracts non-comparable.

The title expresses the window in Eastern Time, while the listed end time is given in UTC as 2026-10-20T02:05:00.000Z [1]. That end time is the listed close, not a confirmed resolution time.

Reading the snapshot

The saved record contains one market from one provider event, with Up priced at 0.5 and Down priced at 0.5 [1]. The record's observation time is 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z, and the source was retrieved at the same time, while this summary was compiled at 2026-10-19T04:10:57.339Z [1]. These prices describe that earlier observation and should not be read as live prices now.

Prices in this snapshot are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The record does not include volume or any measure of liquidity, so no conclusion about depth or the number of participants can be drawn. The equal prices simply mean that both outcomes were quoted at 0.5 at the observation time.

The sample is complete for this saved event. The record reports one market, one included, and no partial sample [1]. That completeness applies only to the saved provider event. The record also states that the sample "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1], so it should not be treated as a full field of possible outcomes.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show why either price was quoted at 0.5, and it contains no information about recent developments affecting ZCash. It also does not establish whether the contract will resolve to Up or Down, because resolution depends on the TWAP outcome that has not been supplied.

The record lists the provider status as active [1], but this reflects the saved record, not a verified status at the time you read it. Anyone comparing this contract with other platforms should confirm the current status, close time, and rules directly from the provider.

References

1. Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z.