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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Name: UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
End: 2026-05-17T03:59:59.999Z

Total Volume

$5.09

Events

Markets

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UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Vol

$5.09

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $5.09

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.09

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Over/Under 0.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
Over/Under 1.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
Over/Under 2.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
Fight to Go the Distance?	Poly	50%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will Alice Ardelean win by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will Polyana Viana win by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will the fight be won by submission?	Poly	50%
UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Poly	48%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$5.09

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Alice Ardelean" if Alice Ardelean is officially declared the winner of the fight against Polyana Viana at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Polyana Viana" if Polyana Viana is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be offici

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 17, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Alice Ardelean" if Alice Ardelean is officially declared the winner of the fight against Polyana Viana at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026.

It will resolve to "Polyana Viana" if Polyana Viana is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be offici

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Alice Ardelean" if Alice Ardelean is officially declared the winner of the fight against Polyana Viana at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026.

It will resolve to "Polyana Viana" if Polyana Viana is officially declared the winner.

If the fight i"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5
* **Total Liquidity:** $31
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.17)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Alice Ardelean: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [Polyana Viana: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Fight to Go the Distance?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Alice Ardelean win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Polyana Viana win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the fight be won by submission?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Over/Under 0.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $4
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Over/Under 1.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Over/Under 2.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Volume$5.09

Markets9

9 of 9

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Fight to Go the Distance?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Fight to Go the Distance?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alice Ardelean and Polyana Viana at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decide

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alice Ardelean and Polyana Viana at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a dra

POLYMARKET

Will Alice Ardelean win by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Alice Ardelean win by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alice Ardelean defeats Polyana Viana at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualific

POLYMARKET

Will Polyana Viana win by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Polyana Viana win by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polyana Viana defeats Alice Ardelean at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualific

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by submission?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the fight be won by submission?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alice Ardelean and Polyana Viana at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will re

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50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/dplqfj" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)"></iframe>

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UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Markets (9)

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will Alice Ardelean win by KO or TKO?

Will Alice Ardelean win by KO or TKO?

Will Polyana Viana win by KO or TKO?

Will Polyana Viana win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will Alice Ardelean win by KO or TKO?

Will Alice Ardelean win by KO or TKO?

Will Polyana Viana win by KO or TKO?

Will Polyana Viana win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

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