Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

When will Don Toliver release a new album?

Total Volume

$12.14K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

When will Don Toliver release a new album?

Vol

$12.14K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $12.14K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $12.14K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Don Toliver release new album before Oct 1, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Don Toliver release new album before Oct 1, 2027?	Kalshi	96%
Will Don Toliver release new album before Aug 1, 2027?	Kalshi	94%
Will Don Toliver release new album before Apr 1, 2027?	Kalshi	89%
Will Don Toliver release new album before Jun 1, 2027?	Kalshi	88%
Will Don Toliver release new album before Feb 1, 2027?	Kalshi	85%
Will Don Toliver release new album before Dec 1, 2026?	Kalshi	70%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

96%

Top Probability

$12.14K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Don Toliver If Don Toliver releases a new album before X 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will Don Toliver release a new album?
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Don Toliver

If Don Toliver releases a new album before X 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Don Toliver releases a new album before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $12.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Don Toliver release new album before Oct 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 8, 2027): Vol $60
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Don Toliver release new album before Jun 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 8, 2027): Vol $509
  DATA: [Yes: 88.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Don Toliver release new album before Feb 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 84.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Don Toliver release new album before Aug 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Don Toliver release new album before Apr 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 8, 2027): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Don Toliver release new album before Dec 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

When will Don Toliver release a new album?

Volume$12.14K

Markets6

6 of 6

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KALSHI

Will Don Toliver release new album before Oct 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHICulture

Will Don Toliver release new album before Oct 1, 2027?

If Don Toliver releases a new album before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will Don Toliver release new album before Aug 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.5¢No 6.5¢

KALSHICulture

Will Don Toliver release new album before Aug 1, 2027?

If Don Toliver releases a new album before Aug 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will Don Toliver release new album before Apr 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.0¢No 11.0¢

KALSHICulture

Will Don Toliver release new album before Apr 1, 2027?

If Don Toliver releases a new album before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will Don Toliver release new album before Jun 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 88.0¢No 12.0¢

KALSHICulture

Will Don Toliver release new album before Jun 1, 2027?

If Don Toliver releases a new album before Jun 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will Don Toliver release new album before Feb 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 84.5¢No 15.5¢

KALSHICulture

Will Don Toliver release new album before Feb 1, 2027?

If Don Toliver releases a new album before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

87¢

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When will Don Toliver release a new album?

When will Don Toliver release a new album?

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Will Don Toliver release new album before Oct 1, 2027?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

When will Don Toliver release a new album?

Markets (6)

Will Don Toliver release new album before Oct 1, 2027?

Will Don Toliver release new album before Oct 1, 2027?

Will Don Toliver release new album before Aug 1, 2027?

Will Don Toliver release new album before Aug 1, 2027?

Will Don Toliver release new album before Apr 1, 2027?

Will Don Toliver release new album before Apr 1, 2027?

Will Don Toliver release new album before Jun 1, 2027?

Will Don Toliver release new album before Jun 1, 2027?

Will Don Toliver release new album before Feb 1, 2027?

Will Don Toliver release new album before Feb 1, 2027?

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Will Don Toliver release new album before Oct 1, 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

When will Don Toliver release a new album?

Will Don Toliver release new album before Oct 1, 2027?

Will Don Toliver release new album before Oct 1, 2027?

Will Don Toliver release new album before Aug 1, 2027?

Will Don Toliver release new album before Aug 1, 2027?

Will Don Toliver release new album before Apr 1, 2027?

Will Don Toliver release new album before Apr 1, 2027?

Will Don Toliver release new album before Jun 1, 2027?

Will Don Toliver release new album before Jun 1, 2027?

Will Don Toliver release new album before Feb 1, 2027?

Will Don Toliver release new album before Feb 1, 2027?

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