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Events
GroupKALSHI

Xfinity 500 Winner

Xfinity 500 Winner
Vol

K 118.8K contracts

|
Events

1

|
Markets

37

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Denny Hamlin at 15.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Denny Hamlin15.5%
  2. Ryan Blaney14.5%
  3. Joey Logano10%
  4. Kyle Larson9.5%
  5. Chase Elliott8.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 118.8K contracts

Reported volume ยท provider units

37

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Xfinity 500 ('26) If X finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 at the 2026 Xfinity 500, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. X retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketSports
NASCAR: Xfinity 500 Winner

NASCAR: Xfinity 500 Winner

PM $0
Will Brad Keselowski win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Xfinity 500?Yes 49.5%
Will AJ Allmendinger win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Xfinity 500?Yes 49.5%
Will Kyle Larson win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Xfinity 500?Yes 49.5%
+34 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
NASCAR Xfinity 500: Top 10 Finishers

NASCAR Xfinity 500: Top 10 Finishers

K 4.8K contracts
Cup Series: Denny Hamlin to finish in the top 10Yes 72%
Cup Series: Ryan Blaney to finish in the top 10Yes 70%
Cup Series: Joey Logano to finish in the top 10Yes 67%
+34 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
NASCAR Xfinity 500: Top 20 Finishers

NASCAR Xfinity 500: Top 20 Finishers

K 3.9K contracts
Cup Series: Denny Hamlin to finish in the top 20Yes 88.5%
Cup Series: Ryan Blaney to finish in the top 20Yes 87.5%
Cup Series: Joey Logano to finish in the top 20Yes 87.5%
+34 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
NASCAR Xfinity 500: Top 5 Finishers

NASCAR Xfinity 500: Top 5 Finishers

K 1.8K contracts
Cup Series: Denny Hamlin to finish in the top 5Yes 54%
Cup Series: Ryan Blaney to finish in the top 5Yes 48%
Cup Series: Joey Logano to finish in the top 5Yes 42.5%
+34 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
NASCAR Xfinity 500: Top 3 Finishers

NASCAR Xfinity 500: Top 3 Finishers

K 340.95 contracts
Cup Series: Denny Hamlin to finish in the top 3Yes 37.5%
Cup Series: Ryan Blaney to finish in the top 3Yes 33.5%
Cup Series: Joey Logano to finish in the top 3Yes 29%
+34 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
NASCAR Xfinity 500: Top Team

NASCAR Xfinity 500: Top Team

K 36.99 contracts
Cup Series: Joe Gibbs Racing winsYes 31%
Cup Series: Hendrick Motorsports winsYes 28%
Cup Series: Team Penske winsYes 26%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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