Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T06:00:06.006Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The supplied source is a Kalshi event for the Indianapolis vs Jacksonville Pro Football game, which the rules describe as "originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026" [1]. Each market asks whether a named player or team unit scores touchdowns. The listed contracts are Parker Washington, Bhayshul Tuten, and Brenton Strange at "1+ touchdowns," plus the Jaguars and Colts defense/special teams units [1].

The rules include several details that affect how a contract settles. A "Y" player who is active but never takes a snap settles "to the fair market price before game start." A "Z" player who takes at least one snap settles "based on touchdowns scored," even if the snap is nullified by penalty [1]. The rules also state that "Touchdowns scored on fake punts or field goals by the offensive team do not count as a special teams touchdown" [1]. The market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1].

Reading the snapshot

The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-28T06:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-28T06:11:31Z [1]. It is a record of that moment, not a live quote, and it is not an executable price. The listed end date for each market is 2026-11-03T18:00:00Z [1]. The source excerpt separately states "Listed end time: not supplied," so the listed end date should be read as a provider field, not a settlement announcement.

Quoted Yes prices in the snapshot are 0.435 for Washington, 0.425 for Tuten, 0.23 for Strange, 0.11 for the Jaguars defense/special teams, and 0.08 for the Colts defense/special teams [1]. These are prices for separate contracts with different wording and different players, so they should not be averaged or combined into one ranking of likelihood. Each contract's Yes and No prices sum to one, which reflects how the snapshot is formatted. Volume and trader counts are not included, so the snapshot says nothing about liquidity or how many people hold each view.

What remains uncertain

The coverage record shows 5 of 5 saved markets included, with no partial sample [1]. The sample warning adds that inclusion "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Any other player not listed here is outside this snapshot, and no lower price should be inferred for omitted players.

The source does not explain why any price is where it is, and nothing here establishes how the game will unfold. The provider status is "active" at the time of the snapshot [1]. Anyone comparing these prices with other platforms should check each contract's exact wording, settlement terms, and close time first.

References

1. Kalshi: Indianapolis vs Jacksonville: Touchdowns. Provider data observed 2026-10-28T06:00:06.006Z.