Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The source is a Kalshi event titled "Colorado vs Philadelphia: 1st Period Total" [1]. Its rule states: "If the teams collectively score more than X goals in the 1st Period of the Colorado vs Philadelphia NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. The saved event contains three markets that apply this rule at thresholds of 0.5, 1.5 and 2.5 goals [1]. Each threshold is a separate contract with its own price, so a reader should compare the rule wording first and then the threshold being tested.

The rules also address schedule changes. If the game "is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result." If it is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, "all markets will resolve to a fair price." The market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1].

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-19T04:34:56.228Z [1]. These are historical snapshot values, not current quotes. For the over 0.5 market, Yes was 0.825 and No was 0.175. For over 1.5, Yes was 0.54 and No was 0.46. For over 2.5, Yes was 0.285 and No was 0.715 [1].

These figures are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The Yes price is lower at higher thresholds, which follows from the thresholds themselves, but the evidence does not explain the level of any price. Do not average or combine the three thresholds, and do not treat their differences as an opportunity. Each market has its own wording and resolution condition.

Each market lists an endDate of 2026-10-21T23:00:00.000Z. The source excerpt itself says "Listed end time: not supplied" [1], so this field should be read as stored provider data rather than a confirmed closing or event time.

What remains uncertain

The sample includes all three saved markets for this event, and the coverage record marks it as not partial [1]. The sample warning still applies: it "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Only one provider is represented, so no cross-platform comparison is possible.

The evidence does not include volume, liquidity, or trading activity, so these prices cannot be read as depth or market consensus. It also does not say whether the game has been played, postponed, or cancelled. The status was "active" only at the time of observation [1].

References

1. Kalshi: Colorado vs Philadelphia: 1st Period Total. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z.