Market snapshot: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

US 2Y Treasury yield at 12:00pm ET?

Reported volume

K 0 contracts

Events

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US 2Y Treasury yield at 12:00pm ET?

Vol

K 0 contracts

Events

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Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

As of Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above 4.65% at 50.5%.

Kalshi

Above 4.65%50.5%
Above 4.66%50.5%
Above 4.67%50.5%
Above 4.68%50.5%
Above 4.69%50%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

23 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.65% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(23)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.65% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?	Kalshi	50.5%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.66% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?	Kalshi	50.5%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.67% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?	Kalshi	50.5%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.68% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?	Kalshi	50.5%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.70% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.71% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.74% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.73% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.72% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.76% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?	Kalshi	49.5%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?	Kalshi	0.0%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?	Kalshi	0.0%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?	Kalshi	0.0%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?	Kalshi	0.0%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.83% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?	Kalshi	0.0%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?	Kalshi	0.0%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?	Kalshi	0.0%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?	Kalshi	0.0%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?	Kalshi	0.0%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.78% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?	Kalshi	0.0%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?	Kalshi	0.0%

Rules & Resolution

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Source snapshot: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Oct 22, 2026 at 12:00pm ET If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above X at Oct 22, 2026 at 12:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: US 2Y Treasury yield at 12:00pm ET?
Source snapshot: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 0 contracts
Coverage: 23 of 23 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.65% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX2YRRATEH-22OCT2612-T465; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh-22oct2612
Observed: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.65% at Oct 22, 2026 at 12:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.66% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX2YRRATEH-22OCT2612-T466; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh-22oct2612
Observed: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.66% at Oct 22, 2026 at 12:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.67% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX2YRRATEH-22OCT2612-T467; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh-22oct2612
Observed: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.67% at Oct 22, 2026 at 12:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.68% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX2YRRATEH-22OCT2612-T468; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh-22oct2612
Observed: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.68% at Oct 22, 2026 at 12:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX2YRRATEH-22OCT2612-T469; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh-22oct2612
Observed: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.69% at Oct 22, 2026 at 12:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.70% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX2YRRATEH-22OCT2612-T470; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh-22oct2612
Observed: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.70% at Oct 22, 2026 at 12:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX2YRRATEH-22OCT2612-T487; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh-22oct2612
Observed: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 100.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.87% at Oct 22, 2026 at 12:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.71% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX2YRRATEH-22OCT2612-T471; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh-22oct2612
Observed: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.71% at Oct 22, 2026 at 12:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX2YRRATEH-22OCT2612-T486; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh-22oct2612
Observed: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 100.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.86% at Oct 22, 2026 at 12:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX2YRRATEH-22OCT2612-T485; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh-22oct2612
Observed: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 100.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.85% at Oct 22, 2026 at 12:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX2YRRATEH-22OCT2612-T484; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh-22oct2612
Observed: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 100.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.84% at Oct 22, 2026 at 12:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.83% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX2YRRATEH-22OCT2612-T483; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh-22oct2612
Observed: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 100.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.83% at Oct 22, 2026 at 12:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX2YRRATEH-22OCT2612-T482; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh-22oct2612
Observed: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 100.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.82% at Oct 22, 2026 at 12:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX2YRRATEH-22OCT2612-T481; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh-22oct2612
Observed: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 100.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.81% at Oct 22, 2026 at 12:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX2YRRATEH-22OCT2612-T480; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh-22oct2612
Observed: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 100.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.80% at Oct 22, 2026 at 12:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX2YRRATEH-22OCT2612-T479; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh-22oct2612
Observed: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 100.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.79% at Oct 22, 2026 at 12:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.78% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX2YRRATEH-22OCT2612-T478; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh-22oct2612
Observed: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 100.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.78% at Oct 22, 2026 at 12:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX2YRRATEH-22OCT2612-T477; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh-22oct2612
Observed: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 100.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.77% at Oct 22, 2026 at 12:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.76% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX2YRRATEH-22OCT2612-T476; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh-22oct2612
Observed: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.76% at Oct 22, 2026 at 12:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX2YRRATEH-22OCT2612-T475; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh-22oct2612
Observed: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.75% at Oct 22, 2026 at 12:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.74% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX2YRRATEH-22OCT2612-T474; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh-22oct2612
Observed: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.74% at Oct 22, 2026 at 12:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.73% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX2YRRATEH-22OCT2612-T473; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh-22oct2612
Observed: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.73% at Oct 22, 2026 at 12:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.72% on Oct 22 at 12:00pm ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX2YRRATEH-22OCT2612-T472; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx2yrrateh-22oct2612
Observed: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.72% at Oct 22, 2026 at 12:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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