Snapshot observed 2026-10-21T15:00:05.980Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This Kalshi event covers a Serie C soccer game between Spezia and Latina originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 [1]. The rules refer to the game "after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties" [1]. Three contracts are listed: "Spezia wins," "Tie is the result," and "Latina wins" [1]. Each resolves to Yes if its own condition is met. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, "the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules" [1]. Because resolution follows the result at the end of regulation time, these contracts should not be compared directly with markets that include extra time or penalties.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-21T15:00:05.980Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-21T16:00:27.719Z [1]. The prices below describe that observed snapshot only. The quoted Yes prices are 0.70 for Spezia, 0.215 for a tie, and 0.09 for Latina [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Together the three Yes prices sum to about 1.005, so the displayed figures should not be read as a complete picture of trading conditions.

All three markets list an end date of 2026-10-26T12:30:00.000Z [1]. This is a listed closing field, not the scheduled match date. The rules say the market "will close and expire after a winner is declared," and the listed event end time is "not supplied" [1]. The listed date should therefore not be treated as a confirmed resolution date.

All three saved markets for this event are included, with 3 of 3 shown and partialSample set to false [1]. The sample warning notes that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. No volume figures are supplied, so this snapshot says nothing about liquidity or the number of participants.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why prices sit at these levels, and it contains no news about either team or the schedule. It also does not establish whether the game will be played on the planned date. Because the evidence comes from one provider, there is no cross-platform comparison. Differences between the three contracts reflect different outcomes, not an arbitrage opportunity. This snapshot reflects conditions at its observation time and should not be read as a current price.

References

1. Kalshi: Spezia vs Latina. Provider data observed 2026-10-21T15:00:05.980Z.