Troy vs South Alabama
K 39.13 contracts
1
2
Troy vs South Alabama
K 39.13 contracts
1
2
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 9, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is South Alabama at 55%.
Kalshi
- South Alabama55%
- Troy44%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 39.13 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
2
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 9, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
TROY vs USA (Nov 14) If X wins the Troy vs South Alabama college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-04T12:00:06.834Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved Kalshi event covers the Troy vs South Alabama college football game originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 [1]. Two separate binary contracts are in the sample: "South Alabama wins" and "Troy wins" [1]. The provider's excerpt states that if the named team wins, the market resolves to Yes, and that the market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1].
The rules also cover postponement and cancellation. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market stays open and resolves on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market resolves to a fair price [1]. Those are different outcomes from a simple win or loss, so readers should check the rules before comparing contracts on other platforms.
Market data lists an end date of November 16, 2026, at 20:00 UTC for both contracts, while the provider's listed end time field reads "not supplied" [1]. The end date is a contract field, not a confirmed game time or resolution date.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 12:00:06 UTC on November 4, 2026, and the retrieval time was 12:52:51 UTC the same day [1]. These are historical snapshot values and should not be read as live quotes.
- South Alabama wins: Yes 0.51, No 0.49 [1]
- Troy wins: Yes 0.46, No 0.54 [1]
Within each contract, the Yes and No prices are the saved values for that binary market. The two contracts are separate, so their prices should not be averaged or combined into a single probability. The snapshot does not show executable bid or ask prices, and it does not establish a verified probability. The saved data also does not include volume, so no conclusion about liquidity or trader participation is possible.
What remains uncertain
The sample includes both saved markets for this event, and the coverage record shows no partial sample [1]. However, the provider's sample warning states that including all saved markets does not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed [1]. The available evidence does not explain why prices are at their observed levels, and it contains no information about recent team news, injuries, or other developments. The excerpt also does not supply an actual game time or confirm whether the game has been postponed.
References
- Kalshi: Troy vs South Alabama. Provider data observed 2026-11-04T12:00:06.834Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 4, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This market is a Kalshi contract on the college football game between Troy and South Alabama, which the contract rules list as originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 [1]. The title for the contract shown here is "South Alabama wins" [1]. Kalshi states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA, and that trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners [1]. The rules say the market resolves to Yes if the named team wins the game. The wording refers to a generic "X", so the team a given contract tracks is set by its title, not by the rule text alone [1]. The market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. The rules also cover schedule changes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market stays open and resolves on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market resolves to a fair price [1]. The rules do not say how that fair price is set, so the mechanics of that outcome should be checked in the full provider rules. The provider lists the status of this event as active, and no listed end time is supplied in the retrieved rules [1]. The market data carries a separate end date, but that is a field in the saved market record and is not an announced date for the game or its result.
Historical Context
The sources describe the two programs rather than the contract itself. South Alabama's football program was established in 2009 and joined the Football Bowl Subdivision in 2012 as a member of the Sun Belt Conference [2]. Troy's men's basketball program competes in NCAA Division I in the Sun Belt Conference, and its home arena, Trojan Arena, was built in 2012 to replace Sartain Hall [3]. Troy has appeared four times in the NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament, most recently in 2026 [3]. These entries do not describe the football matchup or its history, so no head-to-head record is given here.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether one named team wins this specific game under the provider's rules [1]. Its value depends on the outcome of the game and the resolution terms, not on any other event. The rules explain what happens to the market if the game is postponed or cancelled, which is why the start time and the 48-hour window matter for how the contract settles [1]. Because the contract resolves on the official final result, the game's completion is the trigger for settlement [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-04 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the South Alabama wins contract pay out on?
The contract resolves to Yes if South Alabama wins the Troy vs South Alabama game originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 [1]. The market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1].
What happens if the game is postponed?
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market stays open and resolves based on the official final result [1].
What happens if the game is cancelled?
If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market resolves to a fair price [1]. The rules do not describe how that fair price is calculated.
Is Kalshi connected to the NCAA?
Kalshi states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
