Snapshot observed 2026-11-03T21:00:06.031Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The supplied Kalshi event, "Detroit vs Miami: 2nd Half Winner," groups three binary markets about the second half of a Detroit versus Miami game. The rules say the market "refers to the team that scores the most points during the 2nd Half, including overtime," and that "Only points scored during the 2nd Half, including overtime, of play count towards this market" [1]. The rules also describe a tie: "If both teams score the same amount of points during the half, all team strikes resolve to No and the Tie strike resolves to Yes" [1]. The three contracts are "Will Detroit win the 2nd Half?", "Will Miami win the 2nd Half?", and "Will neither team win the 2nd Half?" The wording of the third market matters, since it does not use the tie language in its title.

The excerpt describes the game as "originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026" [1]. The excerpt does not say whether the game was played or when it ended, so this response does not claim either.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-11-03T21:00:06Z, and the retrieval time was 2026-11-04T06:25:33Z. These are historical readings, not live quotes. Yes prices in the snapshot were Detroit 0.35, Miami 0.205, and neither team 0.06 [1]. The No prices were 0.65, 0.795, and 0.94. Each price is a snapshot from one platform and is not an executable quote or a verified probability.

The listed end date for all three markets is 2026-11-10T18:00:00.000Z. The excerpt says the market "will close and expire after the event occurs," and it lists the provider end time as "not supplied" [1]. The listed date is a field in the market data, not an announced event date, so it should not be read as the game schedule or the settlement time.

Because all three markets come from one Kalshi event, the sample is complete for this event: 3 of 3 markets were included, and the sample is not partial [1]. The source also warns that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Comparing the three Yes prices with each other is informative only within this event. No cross-platform comparison is possible from this evidence.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show why any price was at its level, how many traders were involved, or how liquid the markets were. Volume in the data is not a measure of liquidity or trader count. The snapshot is also more than a day old relative to the retrieval time, so it should not be read as a description of current pricing. Differences in wording between the three markets, especially the neither-team contract, should be checked against the full rules before treating them as equivalent.

References

1. Kalshi: Detroit vs Miami: 2nd Half Winner. Provider data observed 2026-11-03T21:00:06.031Z.