Market snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Kansas City vs Seattle: Passing Completions

Reported volume

K 174.14 contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Kansas City vs Seattle: Passing Completions

Vol

K 174.14 contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 24, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

As of Oct 24, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Sam Darnold: 15+ at 88%.

Kalshi

Sam Darnold: 15+88%
Patrick Mahomes: 16+84.5%
Sam Darnold: 20+52.5%
Patrick Mahomes: 21+49%
Sam Darnold: 25+17.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

6 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Sam Darnold: 15+ passing completions

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Sam Darnold: 15+ passing completions	Kalshi	88.0%
Patrick Mahomes: 16+ passing completions	Kalshi	84.5%
Sam Darnold: 20+ passing completions	Kalshi	52.5%
Patrick Mahomes: 21+ passing completions	Kalshi	49.0%
Sam Darnold: 25+ passing completions	Kalshi	17.5%
Patrick Mahomes: 26+ passing completions	Kalshi	15.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 174.14 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

KC vs SEA (Oct 25) If Sam Darnold records X passing completions in the Kansas City vs Seattle Professional Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to Sam Darnold in the Kansas City vs Seattle Professional Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If Sam Darnold is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Sam Darnold takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on passing completions recorded. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Kansas City vs Seattle: Passing Completions
Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 174.14 contracts
Coverage: 6 of 6 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Sam Darnold: 25+ passing completions
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNFLPASSCOMP-26OCT25KCSEA-SEASDARNOLD14-25; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnflpasscomp-26oct25kcsea
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 12:20 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 17.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 82.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Sam Darnold records 25+ passing completions in the Kansas City vs Seattle Professional Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to Sam Darnold in the Kansas City vs Seattle Professional Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If Sam Darnold is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Sam Darnold takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on passing completions recorded.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Sam Darnold: 20+ passing completions
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNFLPASSCOMP-26OCT25KCSEA-SEASDARNOLD14-20; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnflpasscomp-26oct25kcsea
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 12:20 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 52.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 47.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Sam Darnold records 20+ passing completions in the Kansas City vs Seattle Professional Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to Sam Darnold in the Kansas City vs Seattle Professional Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If Sam Darnold is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Sam Darnold takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on passing completions recorded.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Sam Darnold: 15+ passing completions
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNFLPASSCOMP-26OCT25KCSEA-SEASDARNOLD14-15; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnflpasscomp-26oct25kcsea
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 12:20 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 88.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 12.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Sam Darnold records 15+ passing completions in the Kansas City vs Seattle Professional Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to Sam Darnold in the Kansas City vs Seattle Professional Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If Sam Darnold is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Sam Darnold takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on passing completions recorded.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Patrick Mahomes: 26+ passing completions
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNFLPASSCOMP-26OCT25KCSEA-KCPMAHOMES15-26; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnflpasscomp-26oct25kcsea
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 12:20 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 15.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 85.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Patrick Mahomes records 26+ passing completions in the Kansas City vs Seattle Professional Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to Patrick Mahomes in the Kansas City vs Seattle Professional Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If Patrick Mahomes is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Patrick Mahomes takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on passing completions recorded.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Patrick Mahomes: 21+ passing completions
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNFLPASSCOMP-26OCT25KCSEA-KCPMAHOMES15-21; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnflpasscomp-26oct25kcsea
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 12:20 AM UTC
Reported volume: 48.3 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 51.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Patrick Mahomes records 21+ passing completions in the Kansas City vs Seattle Professional Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to Patrick Mahomes in the Kansas City vs Seattle Professional Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If Patrick Mahomes is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Patrick Mahomes takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on passing completions recorded.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Patrick Mahomes: 16+ passing completions
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNFLPASSCOMP-26OCT25KCSEA-KCPMAHOMES15-16; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnflpasscomp-26oct25kcsea
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 12:20 AM UTC
Reported volume: 125.84 contracts
Outcome Yes: 84.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 15.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Patrick Mahomes records 16+ passing completions in the Kansas City vs Seattle Professional Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to Patrick Mahomes in the Kansas City vs Seattle Professional Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If Patrick Mahomes is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Patrick Mahomes takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on passing completions recorded.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports