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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Lightning vs. Canadiens

Name: Lightning vs. Canadiens
End: 2026-05-01T23:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$139.13K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Lightning vs. Canadiens

Vol

$139.13K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $139.13K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $139.13K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Lightning vs. Canadiens: Over/Under 4.5

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Lightning vs. Canadiens: Over/Under 4.5	Poly	73%
Lightning vs. Canadiens (Lightning win)	Poly	52%
Lightning vs. Canadiens: Over/Under 5.5	Poly	51%
Lightning vs. Canadiens (Canadiens win)	Poly	49%
Lightning vs. Canadiens: Over/Under 6.5	Poly	40%
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)	Poly	28%
Lightning vs. Canadiens: Over/Under 7.5	Poly	20%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

73%

Top Probability

$139.13K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 1 at 7:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Lightning vs. Canadiens
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 1, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 1 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning".
If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the NHL game, scheduled for May 1 at 7:00 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Lightning" if the Lightning win the game by 2 or more goals.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Canadiens".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game i"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $140.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.03M
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.14)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Spread: Lightning (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Lightning: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [Canadiens: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Lightning vs. Canadiens (Lightning win)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $53.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Lightning vs. Canadiens (Canadiens win)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $53.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Lightning vs. Canadiens: Over/Under 4.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Over: 72.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 27.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Lightning vs. Canadiens: Over/Under 5.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $16.8K
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Lightning vs. Canadiens: Over/Under 6.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $14.2K
  DATA: [Over: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Lightning vs. Canadiens: Over/Under 7.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $543
  DATA: [Over: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 80.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Lightning vs. Canadiens

Volume$139.13K

Markets7

7 of 7

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Lightning vs. Canadiens (Lightning win)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Lightning vs. Canadiens (Lightning win)

POLYMARKET

Lightning vs. Canadiens (Canadiens win)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Lightning vs. Canadiens (Canadiens win)

POLYMARKET

Spread: Lightning (-1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Spread: Lightning (-1.5)

In the NHL game, scheduled for May 1 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Lightning" if the Lightning win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game i

POLYMARKET

Lightning vs. Canadiens: Over/Under 4.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Lightning vs. Canadiens: Over/Under 4.5

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 1 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Lightning and Canadiens combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remai

POLYMARKET

Lightning vs. Canadiens: Over/Under 5.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Lightning vs. Canadiens: Over/Under 5.5

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 1 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Lightning and Canadiens combine to score 6 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 6, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remai

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Average Yes Price

45¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/eplRpf" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Lightning vs. Canadiens"></iframe>

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Lightning vs. Canadiens

Lightning vs. Canadiens

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Lightning vs. Canadiens: Over/Under 4.5

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Lightning vs. Canadiens

Markets (7)

Lightning vs. Canadiens (Lightning win)

Lightning vs. Canadiens (Lightning win)

Lightning vs. Canadiens (Canadiens win)

Lightning vs. Canadiens (Canadiens win)

Spread: Lightning (-1.5)

Spread: Lightning (-1.5)

Lightning vs. Canadiens: Over/Under 4.5

Lightning vs. Canadiens: Over/Under 4.5

Lightning vs. Canadiens: Over/Under 5.5

Lightning vs. Canadiens: Over/Under 5.5

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Lightning vs. Canadiens: Over/Under 4.5

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Lightning vs. Canadiens

Lightning vs. Canadiens (Lightning win)

Lightning vs. Canadiens (Lightning win)

Lightning vs. Canadiens (Canadiens win)

Lightning vs. Canadiens (Canadiens win)

Spread: Lightning (-1.5)

Spread: Lightning (-1.5)

Lightning vs. Canadiens: Over/Under 4.5

Lightning vs. Canadiens: Over/Under 4.5

Lightning vs. Canadiens: Over/Under 5.5

Lightning vs. Canadiens: Over/Under 5.5

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