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Elfemov Ivan vs. Kaganovych Vitalii

Elfemov Ivan vs. Kaganovych Vitalii
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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

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Reported volume ยท provider units

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market refers to the table tennis match between Elfemov Ivan and Kaganovych Vitalii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 27 at 3:55PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elfemov Ivan' if Elfemov Ivan wins against Kaganovych Vitalii. This market will resolve to 'Kaganovych Vitalii' if Kaganovych Vitalii wins against Elfemov Ivan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-21T12:00:06.317Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This snapshot covers one Polymarket market on a table tennis match between Elfemov Ivan and Kaganovych Vitalii in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men event. The market resolves to "Elfemov Ivan" if that player wins, and to "Kaganovych Vitalii" if that player wins [1]. The contract also sets 50-50 outcomes for several cases: a canceled match, a tie, a delay "beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined," or a walkover [1]. If one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].

The contract says the primary resolution source is "the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers." If those statistics are not published "within 2 hours after the event's conclusion," a "consensus of credible reporting may be used instead" [1].

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-21T12:00:06.317Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-21T15:04:21.730Z [1]. These are different moments, and the prices describe the observation time, not the retrieval time.

Both outcomes are priced at 0.5 in this snapshot [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The saved data also lists a listed end time of 2026-09-18T15:35:00.000Z, which is earlier than the observation time, while the provider status is still reported as "active" [1]. The contract text gives a scheduled match date of September 11 at 11:35AM ET, which is a term of the contract, not an announced event date [1]. Because the market is listed as active despite an earlier end time, the record alone does not establish whether the market was open, closed, or resolved at either timestamp.

This sample is not partial. It contains one market from one provider event, and the coverage record shows one market included out of one total [1]. Because only two outcomes are shown and they are the only outcomes in this market, no outcome is omitted from this comparison. This record does not compare contracts across platforms, so no cross-platform price difference can be read from it.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show the match result, whether the match was played, or how the market was resolved. It does not explain why the price is 0.5. It also does not show trading volume, liquidity, or the number of participants. A reader should check the provider's current status and resolution record before relying on this market's state.

References

  1. Polymarket: Elfemov Ivan vs. Kaganovych Vitalii. Provider data observed 2026-10-21T12:00:06.317Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 21, 2026 UTC

This saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.

Overview

This market concerns a table tennis match between Elfemov Ivan and Kaganovych Vitalii in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men event, which the contract describes as scheduled for September 11 at 11:35 AM ET [1]. The contract is binary. It resolves to the player who wins the match [1]. The contract also sets out how unusual outcomes are handled. If the match is canceled, is not played at all, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner being determined, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. If the match starts but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers [1]. If those final statistics have not been published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1]. The listed end time for the contract is 2026-09-18 at 15:35 UTC [1]. This is the contract closing time. It is not the date of the match itself, and the excerpt does not describe any match outcome. The prices shown with this market are dated snapshots. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of either player winning. The saved record for this contract is a single market, so no other outcomes from this event are part of the comparison.

Why It Matters

The contract measures which of the two named players wins a specific table tennis match in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men event [1]. Its rules are more detailed than a simple winner market. They specify how cancellations, delays, retirements, defaults, disqualifications, and walkovers are treated, and which sources determine the result [1]. Anyone reading the contract should check these conditions, since they can change the outcome from a simple win for one player.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-21 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

Who wins the market if the match is canceled?

If the match is canceled or not played at all, the market resolves 50-50 rather than to either player [1].

What happens if a player retires during the match?

If the match begins but is not completed and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].

What source decides the result?

The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event ends, a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1].

Does the listed end time mean the match is on that date?

No. The listed end time of 2026-09-18 at 15:35 UTC is the contract closing time [1]. The match itself is described as scheduled for September 11 at 11:35 AM ET [1].

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Saved Oct 21, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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