This PredictPedia entry covers the Kalshi event "South Carolina Senate District 36 winner? (2028)". The contract concerns the 2028 general election for South Carolina Senate District 36. Under the listed rules, if candidate X wins that election, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The event is tied to a general election that Wikipedia says is scheduled for November 7, 2028 [2][3]. The same Wikipedia pages describe the wider 2028 cycle, including that 34 of the 100 U.S. Senate seats are contested in regular elections that day and that the presidential election is held the same day [2][3]. The rules are party-specific. The market states that party affiliation is determined by the party label listed for the candidate on the official ballot, and that this label is fixed regardless of later changes [1]. If a candidate appears with more than one party's label, the candidate is affiliated only with the first party listed. A candidate listed with a state affiliate of a national party is treated as affiliated with that national party [1]. The rules also address candidates who have no party label. Independent and unaffiliated candidates, and write-in candidates not listed on the official ballot, are treated as having no party [1]. A candidate declared elected without a vote is affiliated with the party under which the candidate qualified [1]. The contract can close before the general election date. The rules say the market is eligible for accelerated determination after a designated media source declares the winner, and that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. A date in the contract data is not the same as an announced event date. The saved market records list an end date of November 7, 2029 at 15:00 UTC, while the provider status states that the listed end time was not supplied [1]. The election itself is scheduled for 2028 [2][3]. The saved snapshot includes two separate contracts for this event. One asks whether the Republican Party will win the 2028 election for this district, and the other asks the same about the Democratic Party [1]. Each contract has Yes and No outcomes. These are distinct contracts with their own prices, so they should be read separately rather than compared as a single race ranking.

Historical Context

The supplied Wikipedia pages describe the scheduled 2028 cycle rather than the history of this specific district. They state that Senate class 3 senators were last elected in 2022 and will be up for election again in 2028, and that the Senate terms are staggered so that a different class is elected every other year [2]. They also state that these elections run concurrently with the 2028 presidential election [2][3].

Frequently Asked Questions