What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
K 22.1K contracts
1
17
What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
K 22.1K contracts
1
17
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Midterm at 94.5%.
Kalshi
- Midterm94.5%
- Binance90%
- Trump (5+ times)86.5%
- Iowa / Kansas83.5%
- Alaska77%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 22.1K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
17
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
any host or reporter - ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 If any host or reporter says X Y Z as part of ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Video of the ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external, official, transcripts of the ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 will be used. Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases, e.g. names, titles, etc, are included. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. For the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original broadcast will be used for resolution. Please see full rules for more details. Postponement: If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-23T03:00:06.015Z. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Kalshi contract asks whether any host or reporter will say a listed term during ABC World News Tonight originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 [1]. The "Yes" side covers "Oil / Gas / Gasoline" [1]. The rules say "The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used," and that "Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included" [1]. Promotional content counts, but advertisements do not [1].
Resolution relies primarily on video. Transcripts are used only if "a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video" [1]. The rules also state that "Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count" [1]. A reader comparing wording should check these terms closely, since they determine what counts as a qualifying mention.
Reading the snapshot
The market record shows a Yes price of 0.01 and a No price of 0.99 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The market was observed on 2026-10-23T03:00:06.015Z and retrieved on 2026-10-24T12:53:31.897Z, and the record is marked as archived [1]. The snapshot therefore describes conditions at the observation time and should not be read as the current price.
This sample covers one market from one provider event, and the record reports no partial sampling [1]. The source notes that including all saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Because only one contract is in the evidence, there is no comparison with other contracts or platforms, and no cross-platform comparison is possible.
What remains uncertain
The listed close time is inconsistent within the evidence. The market record gives an end date of 2026-11-05T15:00:00.000Z [1]. The source excerpt, however, says "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. The difference should be verified on the provider's current page before relying on either value.
The excerpt also says the event's status was "active" [1], but the snapshot is archived and was observed before retrieval. The evidence does not show whether the broadcast aired as scheduled, whether it was postponed, or how the contract resolved. The rules describe postponement handling, but the evidence does not show that any postponement was announced [1]. The evidence also does not explain why the price is at its observed level.
References
- Kalshi: What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?. Provider data observed 2026-10-23T03:00:06.015Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 24, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This contract is a mention market on Kalshi, tied to the event titled "What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?" [1] The market asks whether any host or reporter will say a specified word or phrase during the broadcast. The contract's title refers to the ABC World News Tonight broadcast originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 [1]. The contract resolves to Yes if any host or reporter says "Oil", "Gas", or "Gasoline" as part of that broadcast [1]. The exact phrase or word must be used. A plural or possessive form counts, and grammatical or tense inflections do not count unless they are those forms [1]. Plural nouns within proper nouns and noun phrases, such as names and titles, are included [1]. Resolution relies primarily on video of the broadcast. If Kalshi employees cannot reach a consensus using video, internal and external official transcripts are used instead [1]. The rules say the live broadcast or stream is the basis for resolution, that additional content not included in the original broadcast does not count, and that promotional content aired during the event counts while advertisements do not [1]. The rules also cover postponement. If the event is postponed and the postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day, with a rescheduled time within 14 calendar days, the market stays open. The market closes and expires early if the event occurs [1]. The market listed in the saved provider data is shown as active. Its listed end date is a rule-based closing time, not a record of an announced broadcast date or an event that has taken place [1]. The retrieved provider data should be read as a record from its own observation time, not as a live view of the contract.
Historical Context
Wikipedia's entry on Peter Jennings states that he was the sole anchor of ABC World News Tonight from 1983 until his death from lung cancer in 2005 [2]. The same source describes him as a Canadian and American television journalist [2]. Wikipedia's entry on ABC News describes the division's flagship program as the daily evening newscast ABC World News Tonight with David Muir, and lists other ABC News programs [3]. These sources give background on the program's anchors but do not describe the specific broadcast covered by this contract.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a specific word or phrase appears in the spoken content of one scheduled broadcast of ABC World News Tonight [1]. Because the rules count any host or reporter, the outcome depends on what is said during the broadcast itself, not on the program's general subject matter [1]. The rules also limit what counts. Only the original broadcast or stream is used, and advertisements do not count, so the resolution depends on the defined content rather than on everything aired on the network [1].
Snapshot context
The archived provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-23 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Which words make this market resolve to Yes?
The market resolves to Yes if any host or reporter says Oil, Gas, or Gasoline as part of the broadcast. The exact word or phrase must be used, including plural or possessive forms, but other inflections do not count [1].
How is the outcome checked?
Video of the broadcast is used first. If Kalshi employees cannot reach a consensus using video, internal and external official transcripts are used [1].
What happens if the broadcast is postponed?
If a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day and the event is rescheduled within 14 calendar days, the market remains open. It closes early if the event occurs [1].
Do advertisements count toward resolution?
No. Promotional content aired during the event counts, but advertisements do not. Content not included in the original broadcast or stream does not count [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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