Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T09:00:06.399Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The contract is titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET" [1]. According to the source, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-27T04:05:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's listed close time. The evidence does not show when, or whether, resolution has occurred.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-26T09:00:06.399Z and retrieved at 2026-10-26T10:35:46.056Z, with the provider status recorded as active [1]. The quoted prices were 0.505 for Up and 0.495 for Down [1]. These are prices from the observation time, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The two prices sum to 1.00, but the evidence does not explain why they sit where they do or whether they would hold.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. Coverage lists one total market, one included, and partialSample is false [1]. Because the event contains a single binary contract, there is no other outcome to compare or rank. The evidence includes no volume or trader counts, so this snapshot says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold each side.
What remains uncertain
Only Polymarket appears in the supplied evidence, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. The evidence does not give the TWAP value or the price at the start of the window, so the quoted prices cannot tell a reader how the contract will resolve. The snapshot was taken before the retrieval time and should not be read as a current price. For later data, check the provider listing and the Chainlink stream named in the rules [1].
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T09:00:06.399Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-interval price contract on Hyperliquid, a crypto asset that the market tracks as the HYPE/USD pair. The contract is titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET" and is listed in the crypto category on Polymarket [1]. It covers a five-minute window on October 27, 2026, and its listed end time is 2026-10-27T04:05:00Z [1]. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. Under the rules, the resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The provider states that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream and not any other source or spot market [1]. The provider reported the event as active when the record was observed. The saved sample for this event contains one market with two outcomes, "Up" and "Down", and no other markets were included [1]. Those outcome prices are snapshots from the observation time and are not executable quotes.
Why It Matters
The contract measures direction over a single five-minute window rather than a longer trend. Because the comparison is between the TWAP across the window and the price at the window's start, a "Up" result depends on the averaged price staying at or above the starting level, not only on where the price ends [1]. The resolution depends on the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream named in the rules, so other exchanges or quoted prices for the same asset do not determine the outcome [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves to Up?
It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which data source is used for resolution?
The stated resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the provider says other sources or spot markets are not the reference [1].
When does the contract's listed window end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T04:05:00Z, which the provider records as the end of the five-minute range [1]. This is a contract timing rule, not an announced event.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.