NL Rookie of the Year Winner? | PredictPedia

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

30 markets tracked

Will Sal Stewart win NL ROTY?

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Single-Platform Markets(30)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Sal Stewart win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	42%
Will Nolan McLean win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	23%
Will Konnor Griffin win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	16%
Will JJ Wetherholt win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	13%
Will Moises Ballesteros win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	6%
Will Justin Crawford win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	5%
Will Bubba Chandler win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	5%
Will Andrew Painter win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	4%
Will Ryan Waldschmidt win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	4%
Will Owen Caissie win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	4%
Will T.J. Rumfield win NL ROTY	Kalshi	2%
Will Charlie Condon win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	2%
Will Bryce Eldridge win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	2%
Will Carson Benge win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	1%
Will JR Ritchie win NL ROTY	Kalshi	1%
Will Zac Veen win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	1%
Will Thomas White win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	1%
Will Tie/Co-Winners win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	1%
Will Robby Snelling win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	1%
Will Rhett Lowder win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	1%
Will Quinn Mathews win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	1%
Will Jett Williams win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	1%
Will Jaxon Wiggins win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	1%
Will Jonah Tong win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	1%
Will Joe Mack win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	1%
Will Jhostnyxon Garcia win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	1%
Will Hunter Barco win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	1%
Will Chase Petty win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	1%
Will Aidan Miller win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	1%
Will Alex Freeland win NL ROTY?	Kalshi	1%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, April 19, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** NL Rookie of the Year Winner?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026 season

If X wins the Pro Baseball National League Rookie of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If T.J. Rumfield wins the Pro Baseball National League Rookie of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will T.J. Rumfield win NL ROTY
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will JR Ritchie win NL ROTY
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Ryan Waldschmidt win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Zac Veen win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Thomas White win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Tie/Co-Winners win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Sal Stewart win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Robby Snelling win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Rhett Lowder win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Quinn Mathews win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Owen Caissie win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Nolan McLean win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Moises Ballesteros win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Konnor Griffin win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Jett Williams win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Jaxon Wiggins win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will JJ Wetherholt win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Jonah Tong win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Joe Mack win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Jhostnyxon Garcia win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Justin Crawford win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Hunter Barco win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Chase Petty win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Charlie Condon win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Carson Benge win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Bryce Eldridge win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Bubba Chandler win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Andrew Painter win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Aidan Miller win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Alex Freeland win NL ROTY?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Will Sal Stewart win NL ROTY?

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Events (1)

NL Rookie of the Year Winner?

Markets (30)

Will Sal Stewart win NL ROTY?

Will Sal Stewart win NL ROTY?

Will Nolan McLean win NL ROTY?

Will Nolan McLean win NL ROTY?

Will Konnor Griffin win NL ROTY?

Will Konnor Griffin win NL ROTY?

Will JJ Wetherholt win NL ROTY?

Will JJ Wetherholt win NL ROTY?

Will Moises Ballesteros win NL ROTY?

Will Moises Ballesteros win NL ROTY?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Sal Stewart win NL ROTY?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

NL Rookie of the Year Winner?

Will Sal Stewart win NL ROTY?

Will Sal Stewart win NL ROTY?

Will Nolan McLean win NL ROTY?

Will Nolan McLean win NL ROTY?

Will Konnor Griffin win NL ROTY?

Will Konnor Griffin win NL ROTY?

Will JJ Wetherholt win NL ROTY?

Will JJ Wetherholt win NL ROTY?

Will Moises Ballesteros win NL ROTY?

Will Moises Ballesteros win NL ROTY?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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