Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

Name: Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?
End: 2029-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$687.40K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

Vol

$687.40K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $687.40K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $687.40K

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	Poly	27%
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Poly	20%
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	Poly	14%
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

27%

Top Probability

$687.40K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of Texas enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A statewide moratorium on new data centers refers to a binding policy with legal force that generally prohibits or suspends the approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation of all new data centers, or a subset

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2029 (812 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of Texas enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A statewide moratorium on new data centers refers to a binding policy with legal force that generally prohibits or suspends the approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation of all new data centers, or a subset 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of Texas enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A statewide moratorium on new data c"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $687.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.12M
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.62)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $115.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $64.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $452.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2029): Vol $54.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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