Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
PM $0
1
1
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T21:00:06.198Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The contract is titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET" and is listed on Polymarket [1]. The saved rules say the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns that stream "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-26T20:30:00.000Z [1]. This is the close time in the contract rules. It is not a record of how the contract resolved, and the supplied evidence does not report an outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-25T21:00:06.198Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-25T22:33:50.615Z [1]. These are separate timestamps. The observation describes the market at that moment, and the retrieval time describes when this record was collected. Neither shows the market's current state.
At observation, the Up outcome was priced at 0.505 and the Down outcome at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The record lists the market status as "active" at that time [1].
The sample covers one market from one event, with all saved markets included and no partial sample [1]. Because the event has only the two outcomes shown, nothing in this sample is omitted. The 0.010 gap between the two prices is small, and this snapshot alone does not show a directional view that could be carried forward.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include prices after the observation time, trading volume, participant counts, or any explanation for the prices recorded. Only one platform appears in the sample, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. Similar contracts elsewhere may use different time windows, price definitions, or close times, so their prices should not be read against this one. The sample warning states that the records do not establish that a provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. Readers should check the live listing and its current rules directly before relying on any figure.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T21:00:06.198Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-duration crypto contract from Polymarket that asks whether the Chainlink time-weighted average price (TWAP) of HYPE/USD will finish the title's window at or above where it started. The event is titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET" and is categorized under Crypto [1]. The contract resolves to "Up" if the TWAP over the five-minute window in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window. If it is lower, the contract resolves to "Down" [1]. The rules name the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source, so the outcome depends on that feed rather than on other exchanges or spot markets [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-26 20:30 UTC, which corresponds to the 4:30 PM ET close in the title [1]. Because the window is short and the outcome turns on a time-weighted average, a price move near the start of the window can carry through the average in a different way than a simple end-of-window comparison would. Anyone reading the contract should check the stated data stream and window rather than relying on the title alone [1]. At the observation time of 2026-10-25 21:00 UTC, the saved snapshot showed Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they may differ from prices at other times.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether HYPE/USD, as reported by the Chainlink TWAP data stream, averages out higher across the title window than it was at the window's start [1]. Its value to a reader is mainly in understanding exactly what is being predicted: a short-term direction defined by a specific oracle feed and a specific start and end time, not a general view on the Hyperliquid project or the token's long-term price [1]. The stated resolution source and the window boundaries determine the result, so the same price path could resolve differently under a different reference price or averaging method [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-25 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this contract resolve Up?
It resolves Up if the Chainlink TWAP of HYPE/USD over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What resolves it Down?
If the TWAP over the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range, the contract resolves Down [1].
Which data source decides the outcome?
The rules name the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source and state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
When does the window end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-26 20:30 UTC, matching the 4:30 PM ET end in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
BNB Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
PM $21.67
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
PM $0
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
PM $0
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
PM $0
ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
PM $0
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.