Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T03:00:05.892Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The contract is a 15-minute ZEC market from Kalshi, titled "ZEC price up in next 15 mins?" within the event "ZEC 15 min · $1,275.8527 target" [1]. The title's dollar figure is not used in the resolution rule as quoted. The rule instead compares two averages. It resolves Yes if "the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' ZECUSDRTI before 11:15 PM EDT on Oct 30, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' ZECUSDRTI before 11:00 PM EDT on October 30, 2026" [1].

The rule also states that the price is "based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)," and that other sources such as Google or Coinbase are not the basis for resolution [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a different ZEC market should check whether that market uses the same index, the same averaging windows, and the same time window.

The measurement window in the rules runs from 11:00 PM to 11:15 PM EDT on October 30, 2026. The market record lists an end date of 2026-11-07T03:15:00.000Z, but the source excerpt says "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. These two times do not describe the same thing, so the listed end date should not be read as the measurement time.

Reading the snapshot

The market record shows one saved outcome set for this event: Yes at 0.435 and No at 0.565 [1]. The provider observation time is 2026-10-31T03:00:05.892Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-31T04:41:47.045Z [1]. These are two different times. The prices describe the market at observation, not at retrieval, and they are not a current quote.

Coverage is complete for this saved event: one market was reported and one was included, with no partial sample [1]. Because only one contract is in the sample, there is no other outcome to compare against within this record. The prices are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and the record does not supply volume or any count of traders.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show whether the measurement window has closed in the market's own system, what the market's status is now, or how the contract settled. The observation predates the retrieval by about 1 hour and 40 minutes, and the rule window ended at 03:15 UTC, after the observation time but before retrieval [1]. The record reports the status as "active," but that label reflects the provider data at the time it was saved.

The excerpt does not explain why the price was 0.435 at observation, and the evidence contains no news or market commentary to support any explanation. Any comparison with other ZEC or crypto markets should treat their wording, index, and close times as separate questions.

References

1. Kalshi: ZEC 15 min · $1,275.8527 target. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T03:00:05.892Z.