Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
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Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a short-window Solana contract on Polymarket. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The title's window is 7:05PM to 7:10PM ET [1].
The resolution source is the SOL/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink. The contract states that it concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader should not assume that prices on exchanges or other data providers settle this contract.
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T23:10:00.000Z [1]. This is a listed close time from the contract data, not a resolution result.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z and retrieved at 2026-10-26T01:05:46.051Z [1]. Both timestamps fall on the same UTC date as the retrieval, but the prices describe the observation time, not the moment of retrieval. The provider reported the status as active at retrieval [1].
The snapshot shows two outcomes: "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. They are close to each other, so the snapshot shows little difference between the two outcomes at that observation time. The evidence does not explain why the prices stood where they did, and it does not show how many traders held either position.
The volume figure is not included in the supplied data, so no statement about liquidity can be made from this record.
What remains uncertain
This sample covers one market from one provider event on one platform. Coverage shows one market, with none omitted, and the sample is not partial [1]. The provider notes that the saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. For this binary contract, the two listed outcomes are the only ones in the saved record.
No later price data is included, so the snapshot cannot be treated as the current price. Comparisons with other platforms or other Solana contracts would require separate evidence with matching rules and close times, and differing prices across such contracts would not by themselves indicate an opportunity.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-interval Solana price contract listed on Polymarket under the title "Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET" [1]. The contract asks whether the price of Solana (SOL) over a five-minute window will finish at or above where it started. According to the listing, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The listing states that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream for the SOL/USD pair, and not any other sources or spot markets [1]. A contract on this pair therefore depends on that specific feed. Prices on other exchanges, or a different averaging method, are not what the rules name. The listed end time is 2026-10-26T23:10:00Z [1]. This is the end time written in the contract rules and should not be read as a confirmed settlement time or as a record of what happened. The saved listing shows the contract as active at the time it was captured [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow question about direction: whether the Chainlink SOL/USD time-weighted average over the stated five-minute window ends at or above the price at the window's start [1]. Because it uses a time-weighted average rather than a single spot print, a brief move at the start or end of the window does not by itself decide the outcome. The rules also exclude other data sources, so the contract is a claim about that one feed. Anyone reading a price for this market should keep the snapshot time in mind, since the contract is short and its outcome is set by data within its window.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What decides whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
It resolves Up if the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and Down otherwise [1].
Which price feed is used to settle the contract?
The resolution source is the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market is about that feed rather than other sources or spot markets [1].
Does the contract use a single price at the end of the window?
No. The rule uses a time-weighted average price over the window, compared with the price at the window's beginning [1].
Is the listed end time the same as when the outcome is known?
The listing gives an end time of 2026-10-26T23:10:00Z [1]. That is the time written in the contract rules, and it does not by itself show when a result was recorded or confirmed.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.