Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Ballon d'Or Top 2 Finish 2026

Name: Ballon d'Or Top 2 Finish 2026
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

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PM $1.4K

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Ballon d'Or Top 2 Finish 2026

Vol

PM $1.4K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Provider overview

polymarket

$1.4K

Reported lifetime volume

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Will Harry Kane finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(30)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	89.0%
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	51.5%
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	51.0%
Will Sadio Mané finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	48.5%
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	48.0%
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	48.0%
Will Vitinha finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	48.0%
Will Luis Diaz finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	48.0%
Will Lautaro Martinez finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	48.0%
Will William Saliba finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	48.0%
Will Rodri finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	47.5%
Will Vinícius Júnior finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	47.5%
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	47.5%
Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	47.5%
Will Marc Cucurella finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	47.5%
Will Ferran Torres finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	47.5%
Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	47.0%
Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	47.0%
Will Bruno Fernandes finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	47.0%
Will Marquinhos finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	47.0%
Will João Neves finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	47.0%
Will Willian Pacho finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	47.0%
Will Julián Quiñones finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	47.0%
Will Dayot Upamecano finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	47.0%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	46.5%
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	46.0%
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	46.0%
Will Nuno Mendes finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	46.0%
Will Gabriel Magalhães finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	45.5%
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	9.0%

Rules & Resolution

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PM $1.4K

Reported volume · provider units

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Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Ballon d'Or Top 2 Finish 2026
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $1.4K
Coverage: 30 of 30 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Harry Kane finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693683; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-harry-kane-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 89.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 11.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693684; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-lamine-yamal-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.4K
Outcome Yes: 51.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 48.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693685; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-kylian-mbappe-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 51.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 49.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Rodri finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693686; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-rodri-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 47.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 52.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693687; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-khvicha-kvaratskhelia-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 46.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 53.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693688; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-lionel-messi-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 9.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 91.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693689; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-fabian-ruiz-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 46.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 54.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693690; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ousmane-dembele-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 46.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 54.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693691; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-pau-cubarsi-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 47.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 53.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693692; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-erling-haaland-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 48.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 52.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693693; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-jude-bellingham-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 47.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 53.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Michael Olise finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693694; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-michael-olise-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 48.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 52.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Vinícius Júnior finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693695; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-vinicius-junior-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 47.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 52.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Declan Rice finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693696; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-declan-rice-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 47.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 52.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Vitinha finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693697; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-vitinha-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 48.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 52.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693698; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-achraf-hakimi-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 47.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 52.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Bruno Fernandes finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693699; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-bruno-fernandes-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 47.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 53.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Luis Diaz finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693700; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-luis-diaz-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 48.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 52.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Lautaro Martinez finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693701; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-lautaro-martinez-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 48.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 52.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Marc Cucurella finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693702; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-marc-cucurella-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 47.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 52.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Gabriel Magalhães finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693703; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-gabriel-magalhaes-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 45.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 54.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Sadio Mané finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693704; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-sadio-mane-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 48.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 51.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Marquinhos finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693705; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-marquinhos-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 47.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 53.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Nuno Mendes finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693706; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-nuno-mendes-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 46.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 54.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will João Neves finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693707; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-joao-neves-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 47.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 53.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Willian Pacho finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693708; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-willian-pacho-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 47.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 53.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Julián Quiñones finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693709; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-julian-quinones-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 47.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 53.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will William Saliba finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693710; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-william-saliba-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 48.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 52.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Ferran Torres finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693711; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ferran-torres-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 47.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 52.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Dayot Upamecano finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5693712; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-dayot-upamecano-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-2026-ballon-dor
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 47.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 53.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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