NCAA Football: Indiana 2026 Win Total
PM $14.9K
1
4
NCAA Football: Indiana 2026 Win Total
PM $14.9K
1
4
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 7.5+ Wins at 96.6%.
Polymarket
- 7.5+ Wins96.6%
- 8.5+ Wins94%
- 9.5+ Wins81.5%
- 10.5+ Wins47.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $14.9K
Reported volume · provider units
4
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T06:00:06.025Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
Each market asks whether Indiana's 2026 regular season win total will be more than a listed number. The thresholds in this snapshot are 7.5, 8.5, 9.5, 10.5, and 11.5 wins, each as a separate yes or no contract [1]. The rules count only official regular-season games, so conference championship, bowl, and College Football Playoff games do not count [1]. Only actual wins count, and canceled or unplayed games do not add to the total [1].
The rules also set a resolution-timing condition. If the regular season is canceled, or is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the win count cannot be determined within that timeframe, the market resolves to "No" [1]. This is a rule condition, not an announced schedule or event date. The listed end time is 2026-12-27T04:59:00.000Z [1], which corresponds to 11:59 PM ET on December 26, 2026.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-17T06:00:06.025Z, and our system retrieved the source at 2026-10-17T07:51:45.845Z [1]. These are observations from that earlier time, not live quotes. Yes prices were 0.945 for more than 7.5 wins, 0.92 for more than 8.5, 0.89 for more than 9.5, 0.60 for more than 10.5, and 0.195 for more than 11.5 [1]. The No prices are the complements shown in the same snapshot.
Read the prices across the ladder as quoted values for different thresholds on the same team. They are not probabilities that have been verified, and they are not executable quotes. The snapshot does not include volume or trader counts, so it cannot show liquidity or how many participants hold a view. The evidence also does not explain why any price was where it was, so this summary does not attribute movement to any cause.
All five markets for this event are included, and the sample is marked as not partial [1]. That applies only to this saved event. It does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome.
What remains uncertain
The snapshot cannot tell you current prices, the 2026 season result, or whether the contract will resolve in any particular way. The source does not provide game schedules, injury information, or recent reporting. The rules allow resolution through official NCAA and conference records, with credible reporting possibly used as a consensus source [1]. Because the excerpt does not show how that would apply in a specific case, it should not be read beyond the wording quoted here.
References
- Polymarket: NCAA Football: Indiana 2026 Win Total. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T06:00:06.025Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
PredictPedia tracks a Polymarket event titled "NCAA Football: Indiana 2026 Win Total". The contract asks how many regular-season wins Indiana will record in the 2026 college football season. Each threshold is a separate yes-or-no market. The market resolves to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number, and to "No" otherwise [1]. The thresholds in the saved event are 7.5, 8.5, 9.5, 10.5 and 11.5 wins [1]. The season itself is the 2026 NCAA Division I FBS football season, described as the 157th season of college football in the United States and the 51st of the Football Bowl Subdivision, the highest level of competition [2]. According to the Wikipedia retrieval, the regular season began on August 29 and is scheduled to end on December 12. The postseason is scheduled to begin on December 15 and end on January 25, 2027, with the College Football Playoff National Championship in Paradise, Nevada [2]. These are scheduled dates from a background reference, not confirmation of how the season has unfolded. The supplied evidence does not report Indiana's games played or record to date. The contract uses official regular-season results only. Conference championship games, bowl games and College Football Playoff games do not count, even if the NCAA recognizes them as such [1]. Only played games that end in a win count toward the total. If the team plays fewer games than scheduled because of cancellation, weather, forfeit or another reason, only recorded wins count, and canceled or unplayed games are not counted as wins [1].
Historical Context
The 2026 season is the 121st season organized by the NCAA and the third season of the 12-team College Football Playoff system [2]. The background reference describes the season's scheduled structure, including the regular season dates and the postseason schedule that ends with the national championship game [2]. The supplied sources do not provide Indiana's historical win totals, so no comparison to past seasons is made here.
Why It Matters
The contract measures how many regular-season wins Indiana records in 2026 against several thresholds, which lets the market express views on different win ranges [1]. The saved prices are snapshots taken at the provider observation time, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. At that observation, the "Yes" prices were 0.945 for more than 7.5 wins, 0.92 for more than 8.5 wins, 0.89 for more than 9.5 wins, 0.60 for more than 10.5 wins and 0.195 for more than 11.5 wins [1]. The saved event includes all five markets, so this is the full set of thresholds in that event. The prices do not show how many traders are involved or how liquid each market is. The contract also has a cutoff. If the 2026 regular season is cancelled, or is postponed after December 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or if the number of wins cannot be determined within that timeframe, the market resolves to "No" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-12-27T04:59:00.000Z [1]. This is a rule and a listed time, not an announced event.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Do bowl games or conference championship games count toward the win total?
No. The contract says only official regular-season games count, and conference championship games, bowl games and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such [1].
What happens if Indiana plays fewer games than scheduled?
Only actual wins recorded count toward the total. Canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins, whatever the reason for the shortfall [1].
What resolves the market to No if the season is disrupted?
If the 2026 NCAA Division I Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, the market resolves to "No" [1].
Do the prices show the likelihood that Indiana reaches each win total?
Not as verified probabilities. The prices are snapshots from the provider observation time and are not executable quotes, so they should be read as market prices at that moment only [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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