Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

McDonald's comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026

Total Volume

$11.37K

Events

Markets

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McDonald's comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026

Vol

$11.37K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $11.37K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $11.37K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 1.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 1.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	81%
Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 2% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	65%
Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 2.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	55%
Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 3% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	45%
Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 3.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	26%
Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 4% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	11%
Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 4.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	9%
Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

81%

Top Probability

$11.37K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

global comparable sales growth in 2026 If McDonald's Corporation reports Above X global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the annual figure reported in McDonald's Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This mark

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** McDonald's comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** global comparable sales growth in 2026

If McDonald's Corporation reports Above X global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the annual figure reported in McDonald's Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This mark

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If McDonald's Corporation reports Above 5.0% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the annual figure reported in McDonald's Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.



Kalshi is not affiliated, associated,"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $11.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 27, 2027): Vol $140
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 4.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 27, 2027): Vol $276
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 4% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 27, 2027): Vol $173
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 3.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 27, 2027): Vol $766
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 3% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 27, 2027): Vol $4.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 2.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 27, 2027): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 55.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 2% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 27, 2027): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 1.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 27, 2027): Vol $743
  DATA: [Yes: 81.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

McDonald's comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026

Volume$11.37K

Markets8

8 of 8

Sort:

KALSHI

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 1.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 81.0¢No 19.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 1.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

If McDonald's Corporation reports Above 1.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the annual figure reported in McDonald's Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated,

KALSHI

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 2% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 65.0¢No 35.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 2% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

If McDonald's Corporation reports Above 2.0% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the annual figure reported in McDonald's Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated,

KALSHI

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 2.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 55.0¢No 45.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 2.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

If McDonald's Corporation reports Above 2.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the annual figure reported in McDonald's Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated,

KALSHI

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 3% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 45.0¢No 55.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 3% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

If McDonald's Corporation reports Above 3.0% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the annual figure reported in McDonald's Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated,

KALSHI

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 3.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 3.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

If McDonald's Corporation reports Above 3.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the annual figure reported in McDonald's Corporation's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated,

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Average Yes Price

37¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/fohwEH" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="McDonald's comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026"></iframe>

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McDonald's comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026

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Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 1.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

McDonald's comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026

Markets (8)

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 1.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 1.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 2% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 2% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 2.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 2.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 3% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 3% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 3.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 3.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

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Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 1.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

McDonald's comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 1.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 1.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 2% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 2% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 2.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 2.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 3% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 3% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 3.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

Will McDonald's Corporation report Above 3.5% global comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?

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