ZCash Up or Down - October 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied market is titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET" [1]. Under its rules, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader should therefore not compare this contract with spot prices from other venues as if they measured the same thing.
The provider lists the end time as 2026-10-15T18:30:00.000Z [1]. This is a listed close time from the contract, not a record of when the market resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-15T19:06:46.487Z [1]. The saved snapshot shows two outcomes: "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. These are prices from a single observation, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The snapshot records the market as "active" [1]. Because the listed end time is earlier than the retrieval time, this status describes the provider record at the time it was saved. It does not show the current state of the market, and the evidence does not include a resolution outcome.
The sample is complete for this event: one market was saved and one was included, with no partial sample flag [1]. The evidence does not include trading volume, so it cannot be used to judge liquidity or the number of participants.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are equal, and it does not show any later price movement, final TWAP values, or the resolved result. Because this is a single short-interval contract, its listed close time and resolution rules matter more than the snapshot price. Any comparison with other ZCash contracts should check the title, time window, and resolution source first, since differences in wording can change what is being measured.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term binary contract on Polymarket titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET." The category listed for the market is Crypto [1]. The contract asks whether the price of ZCash, measured in U.S. dollars, will finish a 15-minute window at or above where it started. The source states that the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The price measure is specific. According to the source, the resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the market concerns only that Chainlink data stream rather than other price feeds or spot markets [1]. A contract on the same asset that uses a different data source, or a different time window, would be a separate contract with its own rules. The saved record shows the market as active at the time of observation, with a listed end time of 18:30 UTC on October 15, 2026 [1]. The listed end time is a rule of the contract. It is not evidence of when the market settled, and the saved record does not include a resolution outcome. The saved market shows two outcomes, "Up" and "Down," each priced at 0.5 at the observation time [1]. A price is a snapshot from the provider's listing. It is not an executable quote, and it is not a verified probability of either outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of a short price move in a single cryptocurrency pair over a fixed window. Because the rule compares the TWAP at the end of the window with the price at its start, the outcome depends on the averaged price over the period rather than only the closing tick [1]. The contract ties its result to one named data stream, which means readers need to check that stream, not general market prices, to understand how the contract is decided [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the "Up" outcome mean in this contract?
According to the source, the market resolves to "Up" if the TWAP of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price data determines the result?
The source says the resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and that the market is not based on other sources or spot markets [1].
Does the 0.5 price show the chance that ZCash rises?
The saved outcomes are priced at 0.5 for both "Up" and "Down" in the record [1]. These are snapshot prices from the provider listing. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
