GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHICommodities

Oil Price (WTI) on Jul 10, 2026?

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Oil Price (WTI) on Jul 10, 2026?

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Kalshi

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30 markets tracked

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 66.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(30)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 66.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	99%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 66.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	99%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 67.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	99%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 67.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	98%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 68.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	97%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 68.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	96%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 69.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	92%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 69.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	85%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 70.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	75%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 70.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	65%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 71.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	55%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 71.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	44%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 72.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	36%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 72.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	28%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 73.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	18%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 73.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	16%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 74.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	9%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 74.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	8%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 75.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	6%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 75.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	5%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 76.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	4%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 76.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 79.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 78.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 78.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 77.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 77.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 79.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 80.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 80.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

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About This Event

Jul 10, 2026 If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil, August 2026 contract, on July 10, 2026 is above X USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 2 business days before the current contract's last trading day. For example, if the May 2026 contract's last trading day is April 28, the active month switches from May → June 2 business days prior to the expiry date. The settlement contract and corr

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Oil Price (WTI) on Jul 10, 2026?
**Category:** Commodities | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Jul 10, 2026

If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil, August 2026 contract, on July 10, 2026 is above X USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 2 business days before the current contract's last trading day. For example, if the May 2026 contract's last trading day is April 28, the active month switches from May → June 2 business days prior to the expiry date. The settlement contract and corr

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(August 2026 contract) on July 10, 2026 is above 80.99 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 2 business days before the current contract'"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 80.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 80.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 79.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 79.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 78.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 78.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 77.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 77.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 76.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 76.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 75.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 75.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 74.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 74.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 73.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 73.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 72.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 72.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 71.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 71.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 55.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 70.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 70.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 75.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 69.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 85.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 69.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 68.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 68.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 67.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 67.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 66.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 66.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHICommodities

Oil Price (WTI) on Jul 10, 2026?

Volume$0.00

Markets30

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KALSHI

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 66.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.0¢No 1.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 66.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(August 2026 contract) on July 10, 2026 is above 66.99 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 2 business days before the current contract'

KALSHI

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 66.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.0¢No 1.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 66.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(August 2026 contract) on July 10, 2026 is above 66.49 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 2 business days before the current contract'

KALSHI

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 67.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 67.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(August 2026 contract) on July 10, 2026 is above 67.49 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 2 business days before the current contract'

KALSHI

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 67.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 67.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(August 2026 contract) on July 10, 2026 is above 67.99 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 2 business days before the current contract'

KALSHI

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 68.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 68.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(August 2026 contract) on July 10, 2026 is above 68.49 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 2 business days before the current contract'

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/fwO7zc" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Oil Price (WTI) on Jul 10, 2026?"></iframe>

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Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 66.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

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Events (1)

Oil Price (WTI) on Jul 10, 2026?

Markets (30)

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 66.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 66.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 66.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 66.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 67.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 67.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 67.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 67.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 68.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 68.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

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Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 66.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Oil Price (WTI) on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 66.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 66.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 66.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 66.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 67.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 67.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 67.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 67.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 68.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 68.49 USD/Bbl on Jul 10, 2026?

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